How many goals they will score today?
2022-12-05

Przem

外籍分析师

世界杯

12/06 03:00

已完赛

巴西
1:0
韩国
解读理由:

In my opinion Brazil is clear favorite of today's match up and they should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2/3 goals margin. -1.5 AH looks like great bet to play here.

Brazil looks superb so far, they are really good at both ends of the pitch. Brazil scored 3 goals in 3 group matches, but in last game they had secured first place so not played at their best. According to the expected goals scored model Brazil should score 6 goals, it's huge difference. They are really consistent at the back - in three matches they conceded only one goal (according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 0.95).

South Korea conceded 4 goals in last two matches and I really understand their problem - the best defender Kim from Napoli had some hamstring injury and he is also very doubtful today. Without him or with him in poor form South Korea don't have any chances to keep clean sheet here. In addition to that, Brazilian coach Tite said #10 Neymar is available for this game and this is huge boost of confidence for the team and he should be able to add extra creativity.

Today we will see focused Brazil like in first matches against Serbia and Switzerland - both matches won to nil. I not will be surprised if Brazil keep clean sheet also today. On the other hand with Neymar they are able to score at least 2 goals.

All in all, my prediction for this game is 2:0/3:0 for Brazil.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,巴西显然是今天比赛的宠儿,他们应该能够以至少2/3的净胜球轻松取胜。-1.5 AH看起来是一个很好的赌注。

到目前为止,巴西看起来非常棒,他们在球场两端都非常出色。巴西队在3场小组赛中打进3球,但在上一场比赛中他们锁定了第一,所以没有发挥出最佳状态。根据预期进球数模型,巴西队应该进6球,差距很大。他们在后防线上的表现非常稳定——三场比赛他们只丢了一个球(根据预期失球模型,他们应该丢0.95球)。

韩国队在最近两场比赛中丢了4球,我非常理解他们的问题——来自那不勒斯的最好的后卫金氏腿筋受伤了,他今天也很不确定。没有他,或者他状态不佳,韩国队都没有机会在这里保持零封。除此之外,巴西教练蒂特说10号内马尔可以参加这场比赛,这极大地增强了球队的信心,他应该能够增加额外的创造力。

今天我们将看到专注的巴西,就像第一场对阵塞尔维亚和瑞士的比赛一样——两场比赛都以0比0获胜。如果巴西今天也不失球,我不会感到惊讶。另一方面,有了内马尔,他们至少能进2球。

总而言之,我对这场比赛的预测是2:0/3:0。


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