Salford City VS Bradford City

Salford host Bradford for this EFL Cup 1/16-finals clash at Peninsula Stadium early Wednesday morning Beijing time. For entertainment the World Cup is of course a better option but we have a lucrative betting opportunity here! Both teams play in League Two and whilst this is not the biggest cup competition in England - FA Cup is - for smaller teams it is an important one and both managers are expected to field at least close to their best possible starting eleven. The largest, sharpest bookmakers with the biggest stake limits see the match as more or less as a coin toss – without a favorite at the time of writing this analysis at least,. I cannot agree with this estimation though. Bradford have been clearly better this season and currently occupy the 5th place in League Two. They have been better this season so far than I, the betting market or probably most football journalists would have expected before the season started. Especially their defense has been more solid than I estimated in my in-depth pre-season analysis. I have, as a result raised their power ratings that illustrates the teams' pure class - clearly more than the bookies! My fans and I have won 6/7 of the latest picks on League Two so I know the teams who play in this league very well. The bookies, however, seem to sometimes be a little lost with odds.. The visitors have grabbed a respectable 33 points so far and have a score difference of 26:17. This is just marginally worse than Stevenage's (2nd with 40 points) goal difference! In terms of expected points (xPTS) Bradford would have deserved 37 points. In terms of expected goals (xG) they would have deserved 30 goals in League Two. The hosts currently occupy the 9th place with 28 points - xPTS for them is 25.

Bradford are in pretty good form – much better than Salford at least! The visitors did, however, lose their most recent match. It was a home game against Northampton who beat them 3-1. The final score is definitely misleading though! Northampton are a quite strong team but as a whole Bradford were slightly the better team on the pitch.They had 56% ball possession and created a little more in expected goals. Moreover, they also recorded more total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Northampton did record two more scoring attempts though. Before this they took a fine 2-0 win away from home and had a great defensive structure! They shut down Sutton's offense in a fine way allowing them just one shot on goal! This match was expected to a very balanced one according to the betting market but as the much progressed it became clear that the bookies had once again under-rated Bradford! They are the favorites here with a 45% chance of winning but a draw (29%) would be enough for my fans and me to win with the recommended handicap option on the visitors. The chance of winning is 73%. Salford do not have the best fans by League Two standards and they have been abysmal at home recently. Indeed, they have not even any of their latest six games at Peninsula Stadium and have lost four of these six matches. Moreover, they have allowed seven goals their latest two games - both at home - and seem to have major defensive problems.. In their most recent match Carlisle humiliated them winning 4-1 as narrow underdogs on the betting market! 1-4 does does not fully reflect the events on the pitch but Salford were still very disappointing and seem to be low in confidence at the moment.

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索尔福德对阵布拉德福德

北京时间周三凌晨，索尔福德主场迎战布拉德福德，将在半岛体育场进行这场1/16决赛的比赛。对于娱乐来说，世界杯当然是一个更好的选择，但我们在这里有一个利润丰厚的博彩机会!两支球队都在英乙联赛中比赛，虽然这不是英格兰最大的杯赛——足总杯才是——但对于小球队来说，这是一场重要的杯赛，预计两位教练至少会派出接近他们最好的11人首发阵容。最大、最精明、赌注上限最大的博彩公司认为这场比赛或多或少就像掷硬币一样——至少在撰写这篇分析文章时，没有哪个人最喜欢。但我不同意这种估计。布拉德福德本赛季表现明显更好，目前在英乙联赛中排名第五。本赛季到目前为止，他们的表现比我、博彩市场或大多数足球记者在赛季开始前所预期的要好。特别是他们的防守比我在季前赛的深入分析中估计的更加稳固。因此，我提高了他们的实力评级，这说明了这支球队的纯粹级别——显然比博彩公司的评级更高!我和我的球迷在英乙联赛中赢得了6/7的最新选中，所以我非常了解在这个联赛中踢球的球队。然而，庄家们有时似乎对赔率有点不知所措。客队到目前为止已经拿了33分，比分差距为26:17。这只比斯蒂文尼奇的净胜球差一点点(40分排名第二)!按照预期积分(xPTS)，布拉德福德应该得到37分。从预期进球数(xG)来看，他们应该在英乙联赛中打进30球。东道主目前以28分排名第九，他们的xPTS为25分。

布拉德福德的状态相当不错——至少比索尔福德好多了!然而，客队输掉了最近的一场比赛。这是与北安普顿的主场比赛，北安普顿3-1击败了他们。最终的分数绝对是误导!北安普顿是一支相当强大的球队，但总的来说布拉德福德在场上略胜一筹。他们有56%的控球率，创造了更多的预期进球。此外，他们还记录了更多的总传球、完成传球、进攻和危险进攻。不过北安普顿也有两次得分尝试。在此之前，他们在客场取得了一场漂亮的2-0胜利，并且有一个伟大的防守结构!他们很好地压制了萨顿队的进攻，只给了他们一次射门机会!根据博彩市场，这场比赛被认为是一场非常平衡的比赛，但随着比赛的进展，很明显，博彩公司再次低估了布拉德福德!他们是这里最受欢迎的球队，有45%的获胜几率，但平局(29%)就足以让我的球迷和我赢得比赛，因为客队有推荐的障碍选项。中奖几率为73%。按照英乙联赛的标准，索尔福德并没有最好的球迷，他们最近在主场的表现非常糟糕。事实上，他们最近在半岛球场的六场比赛连一场都没打过，这六场比赛他们输了四场。此外，他们最近的两场比赛丢了7球——都是在主场——而且他们的防守似乎有很大的问题。在他们最近的一场比赛中，卡莱尔以4-1的比分羞辱了他们，因为他们在博彩市场上处于微弱劣势!1-4并不能完全反映球场上发生的事情，但索尔福德仍然非常令人失望，目前看起来信心很低。