A lucrative match in Denmark
2022-11-05

Tapio

外籍分析师

丹麦甲

11/05 02:00

已完赛

霍布罗
1:0
HB克厄
解读理由:

Hobro VS Koge


Hobro host Koge in this Danish 1st Division clash at DS Arena early Saturday morning Beijing time. This league is of quite low level by European standards but by goal is to make a profit for my fans and myself. This is definitely a lucrative match to bet on! The biggest, sharpest bookies with the biggest stakes limits see this match more or less as a coin toss (50-50%) but I cannot agree with this. In my view the visitors are stronger in all areas of the game and are the favorites here with a 44% chance of winning. All we need is a draw though. The biggest difference is in offense. Koge's strikers and midfielders have looked much more skilled and creative so far I expect the visitors to score at least once here. Hobro have taken 15 points so far and are in the 9th place with a very bad score difference of 8:19. Eight goals is clearly the lowest number in this league and Hobro indeed have a lot of work to do in this area of the game. Hobro achieved quite good results lately but have had a lot of luck on their side. For example in their most recent match they faced Naestved at home as favorites and it was a goalless draw but in reality the visitors were the better team. They had 59 ball possession and recorded more shots on goal, total passes, attacks and dangerous attacks.

According to a well-known and respected German website Transfermarkt.com the hosts’ squad is valued at just 3.63million euros. The visitors’ players have a total market value of just 3.90 million. The market values can, of course, be misleading, but the bookies and many professional football bettors pay more and more attention to these numbers.. The football (players) market is, after all, a global one. However, if two players are equally good and one of them is 24 years old and the other is 34years old the younger guy, of course, has a much bigger market value. In my view, Koge's players' estimated market value million is too low! At least five players are under-valued. Hobro, on the other hand, are, in my view, weaker on the pitch than the approximately 3.65 million would indicate.. At four players – three of these strikers - are in reality, not worth their listed market value.. Koge's latest result are mediocre but they would have deserved much more points than the four points they have taken in their latest five games.

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。