FC Den Bosch is overpriced to win this game against De Graafschap. The hosts have improved in the last few games and have the home advantage in this fixture, backing them to avoid defeat (+0.5) is a more safer option in this game.

Matchday 14 in the Dutch Eerste Divisie sees FC Den Bosch host De Graafschap at the Stadion De Vliert on Friday.

FC Den Bosch is level on points with De Graafschap ahead of this tie with both teams tied on 15 points after 13 games. Den Bosch is in much better form with four wins from their last three games, they have lost just once in that period and should match or outscore De Graafschap.

The hosts have won their last two home games; a three nil win against Jong AZ Alkmaar in the league followed by a recent 3-2 win over NAC Breda last week. FC Den Bosch already have three wins at home this season and that record can get better against a weaker team like De Graafschap.

FC Den Bosch is in fine goal-scoring form. They have scored a total of 20 goals in the league, averaging 1.53 goals per game but they have stepped up in the last few games. The hosts have scored 12 goals in their last five games, and they are in good shape to get a good result here.

De Graafschap has won only four times in thirteen games this season, taking their win rate to 30% in the Eerste Divisie. The visitors have scored lesser goals than FC Den Bosch in the league and have just one clean sheet from the last three games. The visitors drew their last away game in a 2-2 draw against ADO Den Haag.

Both teams met twice in the Eerste Divisie last season. FC Den Bosch had the better result with a 2-1 win last time at this venue and a goalless draw in the last meeting. The hosts have avoided defeat in 59% of the overall meetings, and with a better team this year, that trend is expected to continue.

Considering the strength and recent meetings between these two teams, a win for FC Den Bosch is very likely but backing the hosts to avoid defeat (+0.5) is a more safer option and still carries a lot of value.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

登博施俱乐部被高估了赢得这场对阵德格拉夫沙普的比赛。东道主在过去的几场比赛中进步了，并且在本场比赛中拥有主场优势，支持他们避免失败(+0.5)是本场比赛更安全的选择。

荷兰乙级联赛的第14个比赛日将于周五在德维利特球场迎来登博斯主场的格拉夫沙普。

在这场比赛之前，登博世与德格拉夫沙普的积分持平，两队在13场比赛后积15分。登博斯的状态要好得多，他们最近三场比赛赢了4场，他们在这段时间里只输了一场，应该能追平或超过德格拉夫沙普。

东道主赢得了最近两场主场比赛;在联赛中3比0战胜了Jong AZ Alkmaar，上周又3比2战胜了NAC Breda。登博斯俱乐部本赛季已经在主场取得了三场胜利，在对阵德格拉夫沙普这样实力较弱的球队时，他们的战绩可能会更好。

登博斯俱乐部正处于进球状态。他们在联赛中总共打进了20球，场均1.53球，但他们在最近几场比赛中有所进步。东道主在过去的5场比赛中打进了12球，他们状态良好，有望在这里取得好成绩。

德格拉夫夏普在本赛季的13场比赛中只赢了4场，使得他们在乙级联赛中的胜率达到了30%。客队在联赛中进球数低于登博世，近三场比赛只有一场零封。客队上一场客场2-2战平海牙。

两支球队上个赛季在埃尔斯特乙级联赛中交手两次。登博斯俱乐部在上一次的比赛中取得了更好的成绩，他们在这里2-1取胜，在上一次的比赛中取得了一场0 - 0的平局。东道主在所有的比赛中有59%的比赛没有失败，而随着今年球队的进步，这一趋势有望继续下去。

考虑到这两支球队的实力和最近的交锋，登博世俱乐部很有可能获胜，但支持东道主避免失败(+0.5)是一个更安全的选择，仍然有很大的价值。