More WINNERS from Finland?
2022-10-16

Tapio

外籍分析师

芬超

10/16 22:00

已完赛

洪卡
1:0
哈卡
解读理由:

Honka VS FC Haka


Honka welcome Haka at Tapiolan Urheilupuisto for this Finnish Veikkausliiga Championship Group clash at Tapiolan Urheilupuisto. This the final round of my home country’s highest level - league that has brought and will surely bring big profits for my fans and me! There is nothing at stake in this match as Honka will end the season in 3rd place, Haka’s position in the standings will be 4th. Both have had very positive season as a whole. I have been impressed by Honka’s aggressive and productive offensive football with a lot of short passes – one could playfully say it has been “ Barcelona style”. Their offense has been led by ultra-talented youngster Agon Sadiku but the midfielders have played an important role as well. Indeed, Honka have scored whopping 52 goals so far whereas the championships HJK have netted the ball just 41 times. HJK even play in the Europa League group phase with highlights the level of Honka’s offensive power. They have allowed 26 goals. Haka are currently only four points behind Honk but the score difference 39:39 reflects the difference in class between the two teams. Honka would have deserved much more points in terms of expected points (xPTS). Haka, on the other hand have been lucky in terms of xPTS. Indeed, the Honka are better than Haka in all areas of the game.

This match is undoubtedly harder to estimate than a normal Veikkausliiga game as the lineups can and probably will be a lot different from the recent games.. For Honka this is the last match of the season and do believe them to be motivated in front of their fans. There will not be a big number of them in rainy Espoo, but the “ultras” will surely boost their team one last time this season. Rotating is expected but Honka at least do not have to save/ rest their players here. For Haka it is different as they will play in the Conference League qualification play offs and will surely rest many of their key players here. They do not have a deep squad and have heavily relied on the talented Scottish striker Lee Erwin for goals. He is not expected to play today – at least not for the full 90 minutes. Haka will surely try to avoid injuries and cards here and probably have their mental focus in the play offs. Honka, on the other hand, have multiple talented young guys in the team who will probably get a chance today. Honka, who even beat HJK a while ago 3-1 at home after a very good performance – especially in the second half, are 60-62% favorites to win here!

本译文试用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Honka在Tapiolan Urheilupuisto欢迎Haka参加芬兰Veikkausliiga冠军赛小组赛在Tapiolan Urheilupuisto的比赛。这是我祖国最高水平联赛的最后一轮比赛,它已经并必将为我和我的球迷带来巨大的利益!这场比赛没有任何利害关系,因为本赛季结束时Honka将排在第三名,而Haka的位置将排在第四。这两支球队都有一个非常积极的赛季。我对Honka的侵略性和富有成效的进攻足球印象深刻,有很多短传——有人可以开玩笑说这是“巴塞罗那风格”。他们的进攻由极具天赋的年轻球员萨迪库领导,但中场球员也发挥了重要作用。事实上,Honka到目前为止已经打进了惊人的52球,而HJK只打进了41球。港汉甚至在欧联杯小组赛中,也凸显了本卡的进攻实力。他们失了26球。Haka目前只落后Honk 4分,但39:39的比分差距反映了两队级别的差异。Honka本应该得到更多的积分,就期望积分(xPTS)而言。另一方面,Haka在xPTS方面是幸运的。事实上,Honka在游戏的所有领域都比Haka更好。

这场比赛无疑比一场普通的维科乌斯里加比赛更难预测,因为阵容可能会和最近的比赛有很大的不同。对于Honka来说,这是本赛季的最后一场比赛,我相信他们会在球迷面前充满动力。虽然在多雨的埃斯波不会有很多这样的人,但“超级球员”一定会在本赛季最后一次为他们的球队助威。轮换是预期的,但Honka至少不用在这里保存/休息他们的球员。对于哈卡来说,这是不同的,因为他们将参加联赛资格赛的附加赛,肯定会有很多关键球员在这里休息。他们没有强大的阵容,在进球方面严重依赖苏格兰天才前锋李·欧文。他今天不会出场,至少不会打满90分钟。哈卡肯定会尽量避免伤病和卡牌,可能会在季后赛集中精神。另一方面,Honka队中有很多有才华的年轻人,他们今天可能会得到机会。Honka在前段时间甚至在主场3-1击败了HJK,特别是在下半场,有60-62%的希望在这里获胜!

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