Gillingham VS Colchester

Gillingham and Colchester lock horns in this EFL Cup group 9 clash at Priestfield Stadium early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Both teams play in League Two which is the fourth tier of English football, but the level of football is still better than for example the second tier of Finnish football, Ykkönen. Most the biggest and sharpest bookies with the biggest bet limits see the hosts as slim favorites - some see Colchester as the marginally more likely winners here though. The odds on the visitors have dropped a lot from the opening odds – an understandable movement taking into account the probable lineups in this match. In my view Colchester should be solid favorites here! They have a 43% chance of winning but as a draw would be enough for my fans and me the chance of winning with the recommended +0.5 goals handicap on the visitors is 72%. Colchester have won both games in this competition and have a goal difference of 4:2. On the 4th of this month they beat Charlton, a team who play in in League One, the third tier 2-1 after a good performance through Eastmans’s and Akindes’ late goals as slim underdogs according to the betting market. In the first round on the 6th of September, they took another 2-1 home win – this time over Brighton U21.

Gillingham, on the other hand, lost to Charlton 0-3 away from home in the first round and were very disappointing as narrow favorites according to the bookies. In League Two they have grabbed much more points than they would have deserved in terms of expect points. This probable partly explains the over-valuation here. They did manage to beat Brighton U21 in this cup competition at home a week ago, but it was not a convincing performance as a whole. Gillingham were clear favorites in this match – priced around 1.85 to win on the betting market but it could easily have been a draw. Gillingham’s defense looked pretty shaky, and they would probably have to improve in this area of the game to win here.. Results-wise both teams are in pretty good form. Gillingham have won two of their most recent three games and played one draw. On the 1st of this month, they played clearly above their normal level and beat a dangerous team, Sutton 1-0 at home as clear underdogs. Even so, I want to mention that Sutton were, for some reason, far from their best level in this match. I believe this fine performance affects the odds too much.. Colchester have won two of their latest games but lost to Wimbledon on the 1st of this month in League Two away from home as underdogs 1-2. They would, however, deserved at least a draw! Indeed, they had 56% ball possession and recorded much more assists, completed assists, dangerous attacks and especially attacks - 109-56.

吉林汉姆和科尔切斯特在北京时间周三凌晨在普里斯特菲尔德体育场举行的这场 EFL 杯第 9 组比赛中交锋。两支球队都参加了英格兰足球第四级别的二级联赛，但足球水平仍然比芬兰足球的二级联赛 Ykkönen 要好。大多数最大和最敏锐的赌注限制最大的博彩公司都认为东道主是微弱的最爱 - 不过有些人认为科尔切斯特是这里的赢家。客队的赔率比开场赔率下降了很多——考虑到这场比赛可能的阵容，这是可以理解的。在我看来，科尔切斯特应该是这里的最爱！他们有 43% 的获胜机会，但对于我和我的球迷来说，平局就足够了，在客队建议的 +0.5 目标让分的情况下获胜的机会是 72%。科尔切斯特在本次比赛中两场比赛均获胜，净胜球为4:2。本月 4 日，他们击败了查尔顿，这支球队根据博彩市场，在伊士曼和阿金德斯的后期进球表现出色之后，他们以 2-1 的比分参加了联赛一，第三梯队的比赛。在 9 月 6 日的首轮比赛中，他们又在主场以 2-1 取胜——这次是布莱顿 U21。

另一方面，吉林汉姆在首轮客场0-3输给了查尔顿，根据博彩公司的说法，吉林汉姆作为小热门非常令人失望。在第二联赛中，他们获得的分数比他们应得的分数要多得多。这可能部分解释了这里的高估。一周前，他们确实在主场击败了布莱顿U21，但整体表现并不令人信服。吉林汉姆显然是这场比赛的最爱——在投注市场上获胜的赔率约为 1.85，但很容易打成平局。吉林汉姆的防守看起来很不稳定，他们可能需要在比赛的这方面有所提高才能在这里获胜。从结果来看，两者都是球队的状态非常好。吉林汉姆在最近的三场比赛中赢了两场，打了一场平局。本月1日，他们的表现明显高于正常水平，并在主场以1-0击败了危险的球队萨顿，明显处于劣势。即便如此，我想提一下，由于某种原因，萨顿在这场比赛中远未达到他们的最佳水平。我相信这种出色的表现对赔率的影响太大了。科尔切斯特最近赢得了两场比赛，但在本月 1 日的联赛第二客场以 1-2 的劣势输给了温布尔登。然而，他们至少应该得到一场平局！事实上，他们拥有 56% 的控球率，并且记录了更多的助攻、完成的助攻、危险的进攻，尤其是进攻 -。