Novorizontino VS Vasco

Novorizontino host Vaco da Gama at Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi in Sao Paulo for this round 15 of Brazilian Serie B clash. This is the second tier of this amazingly rich - in terms of football culture – country’s football. Many football fans probably think of players like Pele or Ronaldo when – offensively deadly players that is – when they hear a words “ Brazilian football”. However, this league is a surprisingly low-scoring one and most teams have a good defensive structure and avoid taking big risk when attacking. I would most definitely be quite surprised if there were many goals scored here.. Vasco have a solid defense and have allowed just five goals so far in the 14 matches they have played. The hosts’ defense is okay as well. We must, however, remember that in terms of expected goals allowed they have been lucky! They have scored a total of 16 goals in this league so far and currently occupy the 2nd place in the standings. They have now won four matches in a row which has led to clear over-valuation on the betting market. Let’s take a closer look..

In their most recent match, Vasco beat Operario 3-0 at home as very clear favorites - priced around 1.60 - according to the betting market. Yes, they deserved the win, but I would say the correct margin would have been one goal – not three. The visitors even recorded more scoring attempts! Before this they defeated Londrina 1-0 away from home but even a home win would not have an unjustified result as Londrina had almost the double the number of scoring attempts compared to Vasco and also recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks. We must also remember that home advantage is substantial in this league and in Brazil overall! Moreover, Vasco have won just three of their latest 10 away matches.. They are, of course, the better team of these two by raw class but with the home advantage Novorizontino are narrow favorites and the recommended bet on them with the +0.5 goals handicap option has a very high chance of winning! They had a losing streak of three matches earlier this month but did not play that bad in these games. The betting market undoubtedly over-reacted to these losses! They did, however, show the potential taking a fine 1-0 surprise win over a very strong team Bahia away from home four days ago as huge underdogs according to the bookies. Surely a huge boost for their self-confidence! I expect them to climb up the standings as the season progresses.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

Novorizontino VS瓦斯科

Novorizontino主场迎战圣保罗的Jorge Ismael de Biasi博士体育场的巴西乙级联赛第15轮。这是这个足球文化极其丰富的国家的第二梯队。当听到“巴西足球”这个词时，许多球迷可能会想到贝利或罗纳尔多这样的球员——这是对进攻致命的球员。然而，这个联赛是一个令人惊讶的低得分的联赛，大多数球队都有一个很好的防守结构，在进攻时避免冒很大的风险。如果这里有很多进球，我肯定会非常惊讶的。瓦斯科拥有稳固的防守，迄今为止他们在14场比赛中只丢了5个球。东道主的防守也不错。然而，我们必须记住，就预期目标而言，他们是幸运的!到目前为止，他们已经在联赛中打进了16粒进球，目前排名第二。他们现在已经连续赢了四场比赛，这使得博彩市场的估值过高得到了澄清。让我们仔细看看…

在最近的一场比赛中，瓦斯科在主场3-0击败了Operario，根据博彩市场，他们的价格在1.60英镑左右，是最受欢迎的球队。是的，他们应该赢，但我想说，正确的差距应该是一个球，而不是三个。客队甚至记录了更多的进球机会!在此之前，他们在客场1-0击败了伦德里纳，但即使是在主场获胜也不会有不公平的结果，因为伦德里纳的射门次数几乎是瓦斯科的两倍，而且他的进攻次数和危险的进攻次数也更多。我们还必须记住，主场优势在这个联赛和整个巴西都是巨大的!此外，瓦斯科在最近的10场客场比赛中只赢了3场。他们是，当然，这两个更好的球队的原始阶级，但与主场优势Novorizontino是狭窄的偏好和建议押注他们+0.5目标障碍选项有一个非常高的机会获胜!他们在本月初的三场比赛中连败，但在这些比赛中并没有打得那么差。赌博市场无疑对这些损失反应过度了!然而，他们确实表现出了在四天前客场1-0击败巴伊亚这支强队的潜力。这无疑极大地提升了他们的自信心!我希望随着赛季的推进，他们的排名能够上升。