Do we PROFIT again?
2022-06-27

Tapio

外籍分析师

瑞典超甲

06/28 01:00

已完赛

兰斯科罗纳
1:0
厄勒布鲁
解读理由:

Landskrona vs Örebro



Landskrona host Örebro for this Swedish Superettan round 11 clash at Landskrona Idrottsplats. This is the second tier of Swedish football. The level is not bad and both teams are – on a good day - capable of decent offensive – even aggressive at time – football. However, the main reason to follow this league is to make a profit! We have, in fact, done pretty well betting on Swedish football so far.1Many of my fans probably know that bookies make quite a few mistakes with their odds and Finnish football. They are a bit sharper setting up the odds on Allsvenskan, but make many mistakes on this league that has lower betting limits and overall gets less interest from the bettors.. Let’s take advantage of this – I know our neighboring country’s Sweden’s football very well!

The odds on the hosts have been dropping with the sharpest online bookies but Örebro are still favorites on the market. This cannot be right in my opinion! Sure, the visitors the bigger team by financial resources and by players’ total market value. Thus number according to a well-known and respected German website Transfermarkt.com is around 6.5 million euros - a large number for this league. However, in my opinion 4.2-4.3 million would be a more accurate amount.. The visitors squad is valued at close to 3 million, which is definitely too low! Örebro were related from Allsvenskan after an abysmal last season - they finished second-last with an abysmal goal-difference of 23:58. They have kept on disappointing their fans and probably many football analysts too this season and are currently in 8th place with 16 points in the bank. The betting market still seems to see them as a top team for this league and once again over-value them.. I must admit that their defense has been solid – they have allowed just 11 goals, but offensively they have a very long way to go if they want to even dream of being promoted – or even win this match! They do have the potential but it is hard to believe in a rapid improvement! There are also rumors circulating about bad team spirit..

Örebro are not a good team on the road and have won just one match so far this season. Landskrona, on the other hand, have great home fans to boost them her and are in fine form and have not lost any of their latest seven matches! They deserve to be narrow favorites here and the recommended bet - Landskrona with the +0.5 goals handicap option has a 71% chance of winning. Landskrona should be a little more efficient offensively to turn the many draws they play into wins. Overall, they should pass the ball at a faster tempo and with better accuracy. They did lack some speed and creativity in their most recent match, and it was a 1-1 draw Trelleborg away from home. They were however, clear underdogs in this match on the betting market so result-wise it was okay.. A decent performance I would say.. Before this they played well against a dangerous opponent Brage, who currently occupy the 2nd place in the standings. It was a promising performance at home, and I would say Landskrona would have deserved all three points but it was another 1-1 draw. Brage only recorded one shot on target and Landskrona looked well-organized in defense and midfield. The visitors have lost two of their latest matches and were particularly lame on the 29th of May at home against Brommapojkarna and lost 0-2.

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