More profits from Argentina?
2022-05-16

Tapio

外籍分析师

阿甲

05/16 03:00

已完赛

老虎竞技
1:0
阿青年人
解读理由:

Tigre vs Argentinos Juniors


Tigre and Argentinos lock horns at this Argentinian Copa De La Liga Profesional early Monday morning Beijing time. This is a semifinal played at a neutral location - Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco in Buenos Aires. The stakes are high, and I expect quite cautious football from both sides. I see this as even more low-scoring than the betting market and the probability of a draw is definitely higher than in a normal mid-season game in this league. The level overall not very high compared to for example many European leagues but both teams are good, and this match should offer decent entertainment for night owls to watch – perhaps after the betting-wise interesting matches.. LaLiga is another league where we have done extremely well - 7 winners in a row - and results betting on Copa De La Liga have been awesome throughout the season!

Odds on Tigre have been dropping on the betting market but in my opinion, they are still under-rated. They are not a very big team in terms of financial resources but on the pitch, they have done well this season – better than at least I estimated in my pre-season analysis. I have raised their power rating that illustrates the teams’ pure class as the season has progressed. Their squad’s total market value according to German website Transfermarkt.com is just 15 million euros but this is too low a number! At least 4 players are under-valued. Argentinos Juniors’ number is almost 25 million which is a little too high.. Tigre finished 3rd in the group B with 20 points after Estudiantes LP and one of the giants of Argentinian football, Boca Juniors. They only allowed 12 goals, much less than the group winners! Indeed, they have a very solid defense and the players fight very hard. The team spirit is also great which is often not the case in South American football. In their most recent match they defeated River Plate, perhaps the most iconic Argentinian club, with a players’ total value of almost 135 million. They were forced to defend a lot, they were heavy underdogs, but would definitely deserve more respect for this 2-1 win! Before this they were unlucky to lose to Boca Juniors – a rich and traditional club – 0-2 at home despite creating over 20 scoring attempts - Boca had 9. The hosts also had more dangerous attacks. Tigre are the favorites here against over-rated Argentinos Juniors and the bet +0.5 goals handicap has a 74% chance of bringing us yet another winner!! A draw would be enough.


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