High confidence!!
2022-04-15

Rafa

足球分析师

葡甲

04/15 18:00

已完赛

解读理由:

The second Portuguese league is on fire, with almost all teams needing the result, but I will give you some reasons for this bet.

1st Reason: The big difference in quality between the teams. Chaves has one of the best squads in the league, with many players with the quality to play in the first league. Covilhã has a very limited team technically, with players used to fighting relegation in this second league. There is no comparison.

2nd Reason: Home factor. It is something very important in this division, each field has its particularities and something that also makes a difference is travel. As the country is small, teams do not travel by plane. They do many hours on the bus and sometimes on the day of the game. This can be seen in the results, Chaves has 7 wins and 1 draw in the last 8 games at home. In the last game they won 2-0 to Nacional that was a direct rival. Covilhã only won 1 away game and it was in the fisrt game in August. That was 8 months ago to give you an idea.

3rd Reason: Must win of the teams. Chaves has the must win at most, they are in third that gives access to the playoff against one of the relegated from the first league. They are 3 points behind the runner-up that gives direct access to the first league and with a 3-point advantage over fourth place. So winning the games at home is a must, there is no other chance. Covilhã also needs to win because it is only 2 points above the relegation places, so they cannot limit themselves to defending. And with an open game, the quality of Chaves makes all the difference.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

第二届葡萄牙联赛正如火如荼,几乎所有的球队都在等待着这个结果,但我将给你一些打赌的理由。

第一个原因:团队之间的质量差异很大。查韦斯拥有联盟中最好的球队之一,他的许多球员都有能力在甲级联赛中踢球。Covilhã在技术上是一支非常有限的球队,球员们习惯于在这个第二联赛中对抗降级。没有可比性。

第二个原因:国内因素。在这种划分中,这是非常重要的,每个领域都有其特殊性,而旅行也是造成差异的原因之一。因为这个国家很小,所以参赛队伍不乘飞机。他们在公交车上花了很长时间,有时在比赛当天也花了很长时间。这可以从比赛结果中看出,在最近8场主场比赛中,查韦斯取得了7胜1平的成绩。在上一场比赛中,他们以2-0战胜了他们的直接对手国民队。Covilhã只赢了一场客场比赛,这是在8月的第一场比赛。这是8个月前的事了。

第三个原因:球队必须获胜。查韦斯最多能赢,他们排名第三,这让他们有机会进入季后赛,面对一个从第一联盟降级的球队。他们落后第二名3分,这使得他们可以直接进入甲级联赛,并且比第四名有3分的优势。所以赢得主场比赛是必须的,没有其他的机会。Covilhã也需要赢,因为它只比降级位置高2分,所以他们不能把自己限制在防守上。在一场开放的比赛中,查维斯的品质决定了一切。

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