In my opinion Manchester City have more chances to win today's match up than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. I see around 70% chances for guests here.

Both teams coming to this game without any new absences so their line ups should look exactly the same like 8 days ago at Etihad Stadium.

Citizens won 1:0 at home first match between both teams. They didn't had any problems and controlled the game from start until last whistle. City had 15 shots in that match, Atletico not recorded even one shot (!!!). I saw at least one class difference in favour of club from Manchester. Result still is not safe so I believe that Guardiola team have big motivation to win. Guardiola played 6 away matches against Atletico in his managerial career and he never lost at this stadium. City won their last away match in Madrid (2:1 against Real in February 2020).

Atletico in current Champions League season played 4 home matches and failed to win even once (7 matches streak including previous edition). In those matches they scored only 3 goals. They failed to score at home against Porto and Milan. How to compare that with Citizens firepower? They scored 11 goals in 4 away matches and in each game their expected goals scored number was above 1.91. It's huge difference. They shouldn't have problems with goalscoring today - Atletico conceded at least one goal in last 3 consecutive matches in all competitions. On the other hand City scored more than one goal in 3 of last 4 matches.

At the weekend City played prestigious Premier League game against Liverpool. That fantastic spectacle finished with draw 2:2 . High quality encounter and City even played little bit better than their opponents. They are still leaders of the table and atmosphere in team for sure is great. That was good preparation before today's game. City is in full flow and everything clicking together, best player Kevin De Bruyne is in top shape (he scored in first match between both teams) and he also will be very hard to catch today. Other City star Mahrez also is capable to make some damage - he scored at least one goal in last 3 consecutive away knockout stage matched (6 goals in last 6 away matches).

Atletico at the weekend played La Liga match on away against Mallorca. Diego Simeone used almost the same line up like in first game against Citizens (10 out of 11 players), but they lost in poor style 0:1. Team from Madrid looked toothless in that match: only 9 shots, 0.68 expected goals scored. Mallorca is just above relegation zone in La Liga table. On those circumstances I see problems with goalscoring for Atletico today against super solid City defensive formation (4 clean sheets in 4 of last 6 matches in all competitions). Griezmann have been included in 6 of 9 Atletico goals in current Champions League edition (4 goals and 2 assists), but currently is completely out of form - he didn't scored any goal in his last 13 matches in a row in all competitions.

City is superb team in Champions League. It's their match #100 in competition. So far 55 wins, only Real Madrid recorded more (57 in 100). They are simply better team than Atletico at both end of the pitch and they are also in better form. I can't imagine here any other outcome than their win and qualification into next stage.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

本场比赛两支球队都没有新人缺阵，所以他们的阵容应该和8天前的阿提哈德球场一模一样。

两队在主场的第一场比赛中，市民队以1:0获胜。他们没有出现任何问题，从开始到终场哨声，他们一直控制着比赛。曼城在那场比赛中有15次射门，而马竞连一次射门都没有(!!)我至少看到了曼城俱乐部在等级上的不同。结果还不确定，所以我相信瓜迪奥拉队有很大的动力去赢得比赛。瓜迪奥拉在他的执教生涯中参加了6场对马竞的客场比赛，他在这个球场从未输过。曼城赢得了他们在马德里的最后一场客场比赛(2020年2月2:1战胜皇马)。

马竞在本赛季的欧冠联赛中有4场主场比赛，但一场都没有赢(包括上一赛季在内的7场连胜)。在那些比赛中，他们只进了3个球。他们在主场对阵波尔图和米兰时都没有进球。如何将其与公民的火力进行比较?他们在4场客场比赛中打进11球，每场比赛的预期进球数都在1.91以上。这是巨大的差异。他们今天应该不会有进球的问题——马竞在最近三场比赛中至少丢了一个球。另一方面，曼城在最近4场比赛中有3场进球超过1个。

在周末的英超联赛中，曼城队与利物浦队进行了一场著名的比赛。这个奇妙的场面以2:2结束。高质量的交锋，曼城甚至比对手打得好一点。他们仍然是桌子上的领导者，团队里的气氛肯定是很棒的。这是今天比赛前很好的准备。曼城正处于最佳状态，一切都配合得很好，最好的球员凯文·德布鲁因状态极佳(他在两队的首场比赛中就进球了)，他今天也很难被追上。其他曼城球星马赫雷兹也有能力制造一些破坏——他在最近3场客场淘汰赛中至少打进了一个球(最近6场客场比赛中打进了6个球)。

马竞在周末进行了一场西甲客场对马洛卡的比赛。迭戈·西蒙尼几乎使用了和第一场对阵市民队时一样的阵容(11人10人)，但他们以糟糕的0:1输掉了比赛。在那场比赛中，皇马看起来毫无胜算:只有9次射门，预期进球0.68个。马洛卡在西甲联赛排名中仅在降级区之上。在这种情况下，我看到马竞今天面对超级坚固的曼城防守阵型时的进球问题(最近6场比赛中有4场比赛没有失球)。在最近的欧冠联赛中，格里兹曼已经打入了马竞9粒进球中的6粒(4粒进球2次助攻)，但目前他的状态完全不佳——在过去的13场比赛中，他在所有比赛中都没有进球。

曼城是欧洲冠军联赛中最出色的球队。这是他们的第100个对手。到目前为止，共有55场胜利，只有皇家马德里队的记录比它高(100场比赛中有57场胜)。他们只是在球场两端比马竞更好，他们的状态也更好。除了胜利和晋级下一阶段，我无法想象还有什么其他的结果。