Outstanding value in today's huge game! 英超榜首之争
2022-04-10

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外籍分析师

英超

04/10 23:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Liverpool have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Liverpool coming to this game with the best possible line up, even Fabinho is available. On the other hand Manchester City is without their best central defender Ruben Dias. That can make difference especially when You have to play against Liverpool superb offensive formation - two the best scorers in Premier League? Salah (20 goals) and Mane (14 goals). Three the best assistants in Premier League? Alexander-Arnold (11 assists), Robertson (10 assists) and Salah (10 assists). Numbers not lying. Salah will be extremely hard to stop here - he scored in last 3 consecutive matches against Manchester City. Liverpool offensive formation is simply better in comparison to the Manchester City. They scored 7 goals more so far, but they created much more big chances to score : 82 versus 65 created by City.

This is clash #23 between two big managers Jürgen Klopp and Pep Guardiola. So far Klopp were able to avoid loss in 14 of 22 matches against him.

Liverpool is in the best possible moment to make surprise today. Currently they have super hot streak in away matches - 8 consecutive away wins in all competitions and this is club record. Liverpool also won last 10 Premier League matches in a row anf kept clean sheet 8 times during that run.

One goal can be enough to give Liverpool one point in this match and I'm pretty sure they are able to score here. Manchester City clean sheet balance in last matches against teams from current top7 of Premier League table doesn't looks good. They conceded goals in last matches against West Ham, Tottenham, Manchester United and Arsenal. They kept clean sheet against Chelsea only, but I watched that game and Lukaku missed one big chance to score. Liverpool in 2022 played 21 matches so far and scored at least one goal in 18 matches. In each game when they failed to score, they had expected goals scored number above 1.50.

I think Liverpool defensive formation is also a bit underrated in this match up. Same as Manchester City they kept 18 clean sheets in current season so far. Liverpool currently have amazing streak in first halves - they not conceded even one goal in first 45 minutes in last 19 matches in a row in all competitions.

City have one point advantage in league table and only 8 rounds left, so on the paper draw is not bad result for them. On these circumstances double selection on Liverpool looks like outstanding value.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,利物浦在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

利物浦带着最好的阵容来参加这场比赛,甚至法比尼奥也可以上场。另一方面,曼城缺少他们最好的中后卫鲁本·迪亚斯。这可能会有很大的不同,特别是当你要对阵利物浦的超级进攻阵型——两个英超最佳射手?萨拉赫(20粒进球)和马尼(14粒进球)。英超联赛最好的三个助理?亚历山大-阿诺德(11次助攻),罗伯逊(10次助攻)和萨拉赫(10次助攻)。数字不会说谎。萨拉赫将很难在这里停下来——他在最近三场对曼城的比赛中连续进球。与曼城相比,利物浦的进攻阵型要好得多。到目前为止,他们进了7个球,但他们创造了更多的重大进球机会:82比65。

这是两位大教练克洛普和瓜迪奥拉之间的第23次交手。到目前为止,在对阵他的22场比赛中,克洛普有14场没有输球。

利物浦队正处于最好的时刻,今天可能会出其不意。目前他们在客场比赛中表现非常抢手,在所有比赛中都取得了8连胜,这是俱乐部的记录。利物浦在过去的10场英超联赛中也取得了连胜,并且有8场比赛没有失球。

在这场比赛中,一个进球就足以让利物浦得到一分,我很确定他们能在这里进球。曼城在最近几场对阵英超排名前7的球队的比赛中,资产负债表看起来不太好。他们在上一场对阵西汉姆、热刺、曼联和阿森纳的比赛中丢了球。他们只在对切尔西的比赛中保持了零失球,但我看了那场比赛,卢卡库错过了一个重要的进球机会。2022年,利物浦参加了21场比赛,在18场比赛中至少进了1个球。在每一场没有进球的比赛中,他们都期望进球数超过1.50。

我认为利物浦的防守阵型在这场比赛中也被低估了。和曼城一样,他们本赛季至今保持了18场零失球。利物浦目前在上半场有惊人的连胜——在过去的19场比赛中,他们在前45分钟连一个球都没有丢。

曼城在积分榜上有一分的优势,只剩下8轮了,所以在纸上抽签对他们来说是一个不错的结果。在这种情况下,利物浦的双重选择看起来很有价值。

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