Athletic Bilbao asian handicap +0.25 is my bet here.

Villarreal comes from a perfect and amazing performance against Bayern Munich on Wednesday, where they won. Before that match, their last two league games (both away, against bottom Levante and relegation team Cadiz) were awful, with a huge lack of attitude and motivation. Most probably because they were thinking about the Champions League.

They are sitting 7th on the table, 6 points below Real Sociedad (and European spots). Seeing their last league performances (where they lost both), it seems that the team is focused in the Champions League.

For this match, coach Emery announced rotations. Main central back Pau Torres is suspended, and another key players must rest to be at 100% in the second leg game at Allianz Arena in the next few days. With only 2 days to rest after a very tight game vs Bayern and with the next one in 3 days (only 2 to rest), players need to rest here.

On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao is sitting just one point below Villarreal. They are an irregular team, but a very difficult team to beat (only 8 defeats so far). Their weak problem is the lack of goal, which is solved by a solid and good defense.

For this match I’m expecting a match with Villarreal controlling the ball possession, Athletic defending and trying to get their chances at counters. I can’t see hosts at 100% here, in both aspects (mental and physical). Just two days to rest after a game against Bayern Munich isn’t enough, and with the second game with only two more days to rest means that they can’t be at 100% here. Coach already confirmed it and announced rotations, so we won’t see the best Villarreal here.

This is a great chance for Athletic to take some points. It won’t be easy as Villarreal is a very strong home team, but they won’t have a better chance to take points from here than today. Furthermore, if Villarreal isn’t at 100%, won’t be easy for them to find spaces in a solid defense.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

比利亚雷亚尔在周三对阵拜仁慕尼黑的比赛中取得了完美和惊人的表现，他们最终获胜。在那场比赛之前，他们最近的两场联赛比赛(都是客场，对阵垫底的莱万特和降级的加的斯)都很糟糕，缺乏态度和动力。最可能的原因是他们考虑的是冠军联赛。

他们在积分榜上排名第七，比皇家社会低6分(以及欧洲积分榜)。看了他们最近一次联赛的表现(他们输掉了这两场比赛)，球队似乎把重点放在了冠军联赛上。

这场比赛，教练埃默里宣布了轮换。主力中后卫托雷斯被停赛，另外一名关键球员必须在接下来几天在安联球场进行的第二回合比赛中休息以保持100%的状态。在一场与拜仁的紧张比赛后，球员们只有2天的时间来休息，下一场比赛还有3天(只有2天休息)，球员们需要在这里休息。

另一方面，毕尔巴鄂竞技仅落后比利亚雷亚尔一分。他们是一支不正规的球队，但也是一支很难打败的球队(到目前为止只输了8场比赛)。他们的薄弱问题是缺乏目标，这是通过坚实和良好的防守解决的。

对于这场比赛，我希望比利亚雷亚尔能控制控球，有力的防守，并试图获得反击的机会。我在这里看不到100%的主持人，无论是精神上还是身体上。在对阵拜仁慕尼黑的比赛后仅仅休息两天是不够的，第二场比赛只剩下两天的休息意味着他们不可能在这里达到100%的状态。教练已经确认并宣布了轮换，所以我们不会在这里看到最好的比利亚雷亚尔。

这是一个很好的机会，为运动员取得一些积分。这并不容易，因为比利亚雷亚尔是一支非常强大的主场球队，但他们在这里不会有比今天更好的得分机会。此外，如果比利亚雷亚尔没有达到100%，那么他们在稳固的防守中就很难找到空间。