Newcastle are without a win in last 10 games in all competitions, and looking more closely into last 7 EPL games with xG-data it is easy to understand why:

They have been outplayed in all games since 1-1 draw with Fulham, and if we remember that the match before that was Leeds away where they got thoroughly beaten by 5-2 it is easy not to like them today. There is also only one goal in last 8 games for them scored including the cup games. And a loss to Sheffield Utd and very deservedly so!

There is of course more. Despite the actual performances and results the team has looked very low-spirited, and this is likely the last game for head coach Steve Bruce as they are closing to the relegation battle, where they also belong to in almost all possible metrics, and as they did also belong there last season these problems are long overdue!

There are big injury worries too, 3 of their 4 possible centre-backs are out, and as Bruce prefers the 3-man line I am sure where he will come up with the useful players!

Leeds have not been great this year 2021 so far, but is it just a blip in form? A look at last 7 games tells us this:

Losses to Tottenham and Brighton, both of whom are significantly better teams than Newcastle. In fact Burnley and WBA give a lot better comparison!

A few more positive points for Leeds: they are a lot fresher, and with Bielsa's exhausting pressure style it is essential.

Secondly they get back two of their key players, keeper Meslier and midfielder Phillps.

Newcastle have already played 5 games this January, Leeds 3. The physical and mental exhaustion at Newcastle is massive, and if Leeds get the first goal I would not be surprised to see a big away win tonight.

0-3

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

纽卡斯尔在过去10场比赛中所有比赛都没有赢过一场，用预期进球数数据仔细看看最近7场英超比赛，很容易理解为什么，如图1:

自从1-1战平富勒姆以来，他们在所有的比赛中都被击败，如果我们记得之前的比赛是2-5被利兹彻底击败的比赛，那么很容易不喜欢今天的他们。在过去的8场比赛中，他们只有一个进球，包括杯赛。输给谢菲尔德曼联，这是理所应当的!

当然还有更多。尽管实际的表现和结果团队看起来很气馁,这可能是最后一场比赛,主教练史蒂夫·布鲁斯的保级大战结束,他们还属于在几乎所有可能的指标,和上赛季一样也属于这些问题已经逾期很久了!

还有很大的伤病担忧，4个可能的中后卫中有3个出局了，因为布鲁斯更喜欢3人防线，我相信他会在那里培养出有用的球员!

到目前为止，利兹联队在2021年的表现并不好，但这只是昙花一现吗?看看最近的7场比赛就知道了，如图2:

输给热刺和布莱顿，这两支球队都比纽卡斯尔强得多。事实上，伯恩利和西布朗给出了更好的比较!

利兹联队也有一些积极的方面:他们更加清新，而对于贝尔萨那种令人筋疲力尽的压力风格来说，这是必不可少的。

其次，他们得到了两名关键球员，门将梅斯利尔和中场菲利普斯。

纽卡斯尔在今年一月已经打了5场比赛，利兹则打了3场。对纽卡斯尔的身体和精神上的疲惫是巨大的，如果利兹能打进第一个球，我不会对今晚的客场大胜感到惊讶。

预测比分0:3。