Pisa vs Brescia

Pisa host Brescia for this Italian Serie B round 33 battle at Arena Garibaldi early Thursday morning Beijing time. This is the 2nd tier of Italian football and offers pretty good-quality entertainment for football fans. There are some skilled individuals too in this league, but overall the level is considerable lower than in Serie A. On average it is a low-scoring league. I do not expect many goals here either.. The main rationale is that Brescia, despite the offensive talent, often choose a pretty cautious, defense strategy and in away matches, especially against quality opposition. They have scored 49 goals so far, Pisa’s number is 41. Indeed, Pisa are not a great team offensively and even Ternana, currently in the 13th position have scored 7 goals more than the hosts! The probability of a draw here is quite high - 34%. This result would be enough to bring my fans and myself the 7th winner in a row with the Brescia +0.5 goals handicap option. The probability of winning is 72%.

Pisa are currently in the 3rd place in the standings with 58 points. Top-2 teams are promoted directly to Serie A for next season. The teams who place in 3-8th places play in the play offs later this season. However, I do not see Pisa making it to the to-2. I expect them to drop down in the standings as during the spring.. They have definitely over-performed and had luck on their side in quite a few matches and are, as a result, over-valued by the betting market! I rate them in the 7th place in my power ratings that reflect the teams’ pure class! Brescia, on the other hand, are in the 7th place with 57 points in the bank, but Benevento, in the 5th place have the same number of points.. The stakes are high indeed here! Brescia are the better team by raw class and are slim favorites in this match. They are also the bigger team by players’ total market value which is 35.32 million euros according to a respected German website Transfermarkt.com. However, at least 3 players are under-valued. They fair amount would, in my view, be 43 million. Pisa’s squad is valued at slightly more than 33 million, which is definitely too high a number! I would estimate 24 million as the correct amount. I would say 5 players are over-valued. Brescia re in much better form than Pisa at the moment. They crushed Vicenza in their most recent match. It was an "only" 2-0 win but could easily have been an even more clear win! They recorded a whopping 23 goal attempts. Vicenza had just 5. Pisa, on the other hand, were humiliated by Benevento 4 days ago.. Benevento swept past poor Pisa with a 5-1 win!

北京时间周四凌晨，比萨将在加里波第竞技场举行的意大利乙级联赛第 33 轮比赛中主场迎战布雷西亚。这是意大利足球的第二层，为足球迷提供了相当优质的娱乐。这个联赛也有一些技术精湛的球员，但总体水平比意甲低很多。平均而言，这是一个低分联赛。我也不认为这里有很多进球。主要的理由是布雷西亚，尽管有进攻天赋，但在客场比赛中经常选择相当谨慎的防守策略，尤其是在面对高质量的对手时。到目前为止，他们已经打进了49个进球，比萨的进球数是41个。确实，比萨在进攻端并不是一支伟大的球队，就连目前排在第13位的特尔纳纳也比东道主多进了7个球！这里平局的概率相当高——34%。这个结果足以让我的球迷和我自己在布雷西亚 +0.5 进球让分选项下连续第 7 次获胜。获胜的概率是 72%。

比萨目前以58分排在积分榜第3位。前2名的球队将直接晋级下赛季的意甲联赛。排名第 3-8 位的球队将在本赛季晚些时候参加附加赛。但是，我没有看到 Pisa 进入 to-2。我预计他们会像春季一样在积分榜上下滑。他们在很多场比赛中的表现肯定都超前，而且运气不错，因此被博彩市场高估了！在反映团队纯洁等级的功率等级中，我将它们评为第 7 位！另一方面，布雷西亚以 57 分排在第 7 位，但排在第 5 位的贝内文托拥有相同的积分。这里的赌注确实很高！布雷西亚在原始级别上是更好的球队，并且在这场比赛中是微弱的最爱。根据一家受人尊敬的德国网站 Transfermarkt.com 的数据，他们也是球员总市值为 3532 万欧元的更大的球队。然而，至少有 3 名球员被低估了。在我看来，他们的公平数量将是 4300 万。比萨的阵容价值略高于3300万，这绝对是一个过高的数字！我估计2400万是正确的数量。我会说5名球员被高估了。布雷西亚目前的状态比比萨好得多。他们在最近的比赛中击败了维琴察。这是一场“唯一”的 2-0 胜利，但很容易成为一场更明显的胜利！他们记录了惊人的23次进球尝试。维琴察只有 5 分。另一方面，比萨在 4 天前被贝内文托羞辱。贝内文托以 5-1 的比分横扫比萨！