Granada CF VS Rayo Vallecano

Granada host Rayo Vallecano for this Spanish LaLiga round 30 clash at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes. This is second best league in Europe in my opinion and offers high-quality entertainment for football lovers. Even the lower-ranked team are capable of playing good football – on a good day at least. This is a battle between two out-of-form teams. Indeed, Granada have won one of their latest five matches in this league. However, this only win was achieved over the rock bottom team, Alaves on the 19th of March. Alaves have grabbed just 22 points so far and have abysmal goal difference – 24:52. It was a 3-2 away win after a very balanced match. Ball possession was 50-50% and Alaves created 2.24 in expected goals. Granada’s number was 2.11. Granada tried to play much more aggressive, offensive football in this match when they, for once, had a genuine chance for that the opponent being weak enough. Well, as a result of this strategy they looked extremely shaky in defense.. I expect them to choose a much more cautious strategy today against a dangerous opponent, Rayo Vallecano.

Granada played okay against Elche 3 weeks ago despite losing 0-1 at home. A draw would not have unjustified. However, before this they were horribly bad offensively! On the 28th February they recorded an expected goals number of just 0.19 against Cadiz – at home! It is rare to see this kind of numbers at the highest level of any big football country. We must remember that Cadiz are a pretty lowly team, and are behind Granada in the standings. On the 5th of March Valencia, who are more or less at the same level by raw class as Rayo Vallecano, totally dominated Granada winning 3-1 at home. The expected goals numbers were 2.09 for Valencia and 0.20 for Granada. In their most recent match Granada crushed Jaen in a friendly match 5-0. Have my fans even ever heard of this team? Indeed, they are a very tiny team and play in Tercera RFEF Group 9. I would not get too excited by this win.. Granada do have potential for better performances than we have seen recently but will they improve for today’s match, and will it be enough? I have my doubts..

Granada currently occupy the 16th place in the standings with 28 points in the bank. They have, however, been lucky in terms of expected points and grabbed 4 points more than they would have realistically deserved. I,in fact, rate them as the second worst team in LaLiga. Cadiz and Mallorca could easily topple Granada during the rest of the season. Both are now behind today’s hosts in the standings. Even Levante have a chance to do the same! The betting market has not fully realized how bad Granada are and, as a result, over-value them. Granada are missing at least Arias, Escandell, Gonalons, Lozano, Montoro, Raba, Neva today. That's a long list.. Rayo Vallecano are without 4 players. They are undoubtedly the favorites to win this clash and the betting on the with the +0.5 goals handicap option has a 71% chance of winning. Rayo Vallecano have not won any of their latest 5 matches but we must remember that they have faced clearly tougher opponents than Granada. They have also been very unlucky this season in terms expected goals and points. They would have deserved 7 more points! Indeed, they have 32 points in the bank and occupy the 13th place in the standings, but I see them as the 11th best team in my power ratings that illustrate the teams' true class!

格拉纳达将在新洛斯卡门内斯球场举行的西班牙西甲第 30 轮比赛中主场迎战巴列卡诺。在我看来，这是欧洲第二好的联赛，为足球爱好者提供高品质的娱乐。即使是排名较低的球队也有能力踢出精彩的足球——至少在美好的一天。这是两支状态不佳的球队之间的战斗。事实上，格拉纳达赢得了他们最近五场联赛中的一场。然而，这唯一的胜利是在 3 月 19 日战胜了最底层的球队阿拉维斯。到目前为止，阿拉维斯只拿到了 22 分，并且净胜球差距很大——24:52。在一场非常平衡的比赛之后，客场以 3-2 取胜。控球率为 50-50%，阿拉维斯创造了 2.24 个预期进球。格拉纳达的数字是 2.11。格拉纳达试图在这场比赛中踢出更具侵略性和进攻性的足球，而这一次他们有机会让对手足够弱。好吧，由于这种策略，他们的防守看起来非常不稳定。我希望他们能今天对危险的对手 Rayo Vallecano 选择更加谨慎的策略。

格拉纳达在 3 周前对阵埃尔切的比赛中表现不错，尽管在主场以 0-1 失利。平局不会没有道理。然而，在此之前，他们的进攻实在是太糟糕了！ 2 月 28 日，他们在主场对阵加的斯时的预期进球数仅为 0.19！在任何一个足球大国的最高水平上都很难看到这样的数字。我们必须记住，加的斯是一支相当低劣的球队，在积分榜上落后于格拉纳达。 3月5日，与Rayo Vallecano在原始级别上或多或少处于同一水平的瓦伦西亚队在主场以3-1击败格拉纳达队。瓦伦西亚的预期进球数为 2.09，格拉纳达为 0.20。在他们最近的一场比赛中，格拉纳达在一场友谊赛中以 5-0 击败了哈恩。我的粉丝们听说过这支球队吗？事实上，他们是一支非常小的球队，在 Tercera RFEF Group 9 打球。我不会对这场胜利感到太兴奋。格拉纳达确实有有可能比我们最近看到的表现更好，但他们会在今天的比赛中有所改善吗？这是否足够？我有我的疑问..

格拉纳达目前在积分榜上排名第 16 位，积 28 分。然而，他们在预期得分方面很幸运，并且比他们实际应得的多获得了 4 分。事实上，我将他们评为西甲第二差的球队。加的斯和马略卡在本赛季剩余的时间里很容易推翻格拉纳达。两人现在在积分榜上都落后于今天的东道主。即使莱万特也有机会这样做！博彩市场还没有完全意识到格拉纳达有多糟糕，因此高估了他们的价值。格拉纳达今天至少缺少阿里亚斯、埃斯坎德尔、戈纳隆、洛萨诺、蒙托罗、拉巴、涅瓦。这是一个很长的名单。Rayo Vallecano 没有 4 名球员。毫无疑问，他们是赢得这场比赛的大热门，投注 +0.5 进球让分选项有 71% 的获胜机会。雷奥·巴列卡诺他们最近 5 场比赛没有赢过任何一场，但我们必须记住，他们面对的对手显然比格拉纳达更难对付。他们本赛季在预期进球和积分方面也很不走运。他们本来应该得到7分！确实，他们在银行积 32 分，在积分榜上排名第 13 位，但我认为他们在我的实力评级中排名第 11 位，这说明了球队的真实水平！