Win with me or get Your money back!
2022-04-03

Przem

外籍分析师

德甲

04/03 21:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Wolfsburg have really good chances for positive result in this game. I simply don't see home win here. In those circumstances +0 or more safe +0.5 AH looks like superb bet.

Wolfsburg have super solid streak against Augsburg as they didn't lost in last 8 Bundesliga matches in a row against them (5 wins in the process). In addition to that Wolfsburg won last 3 consecutive matches at this stadium. They have huge mental advantage .

Augsburg manager Weinzierl settled Bundesliga record in last round - he recorded loss #100 on the bench, the quickest 100 in Bundesliga history (100 losses in the 222 matches). On the other hand Wolfsburg manager Kohfeldt loves to play against Augsburg - 6 wins in 8 matches against them in his managerial career.

Wolfsburg lost last two matches in a row, bur they don't had easy schedule - twice they played against top5 teams. Wolfsburg lost 2:3 on away against Freiburg, but that wasn't fully deserved result as they conceded very late goal: expected goals scored for Wolfsburg 1.57, for Freiburg 1.39. In last round they lost 0:2 by two late goals at home against strong Bayer, but that also wasn't deserved result: expected goals scored for Wolfsburg 1.50, for Bayer 1.32. If they continue play on this level, I see big chances for them today. Wolfsburg don't have any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round.

Augsburg in last round lost on away against Stuttgart and that was fully deserved win: expected goals scored for Stuttgart 2.37, for Augsburg 0.98. Augsburg is under huge pressure because they are in relegation zone and for sure this is not helpful. In addition to that they have serious squad problems because 4 players which played in last round match are unavailable today: top scorer Gregoritsch (scored a goal in last round), key offensive midfielder Hahn (scored a goal in last round), key midfielder Vargas and important defender Udookhai . It's a huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

All in all, I see excellent value on away side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,沃尔夫斯堡在这场比赛中有很好的机会取得积极的结果。

沃尔夫斯堡在对阵奥格斯堡的比赛中表现出色,他们在过去的8场德甲比赛中都没有输过(5胜)。除此之外,沃尔夫斯堡在这个体育场赢得了连续三场比赛。他们有巨大的心理优势。

奥格斯堡主教练温齐尔在上一轮比赛中创造了德甲的记录——他在替补席上输掉了100场比赛,这是德甲历史上最快的100场比赛(在222场比赛中输掉了100场)。另一方面,沃尔夫斯堡主教练Kohfeldt喜欢与奥格斯堡的比赛——在他的执教生涯中,他在与奥格斯堡的8场比赛中取得了6胜。

沃尔夫斯堡连续输掉了两场比赛,但他们的赛程并不轻松——他们有两次与排名前五的球队交手。沃尔夫斯堡在客场2:3输给弗莱堡,但这并不是一个完全应得的结果,因为他们在很晚的时候才失球:沃尔夫斯堡的预期进球为1.57,弗莱堡的预期进球为1.39。在上一轮比赛中,他们在主场以两粒进球0:2负于强势的拜耳,但这也不是他们应得的结果:沃尔夫斯堡的进球为1.50,拜耳的进球为1.32。如果他们继续打这个水平的比赛,我看到他们今天有很大的机会。沃尔夫斯堡没有新人缺阵,所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮完全一样。

奥格斯堡在上一轮客场输给了斯图加特,这是完全应得的胜利:斯图加特的预期进球是2.37,奥格斯堡的预期进球是0.98。奥格斯堡承受着巨大的压力,因为他们在降级区,这肯定是没有帮助的。除此之外,他们还有严重的阵容问题,因为有4名在上一轮比赛中出场的球员今天无法上场:最佳射手格里戈里奇(在上一轮比赛中进球),关键的进攻中场哈恩(在上一轮比赛中进球),关键中场瓦尔加斯和重要的后卫乌杜卡伊。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常坏的影响。

总而言之,我在客场看到了很好的价值。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。