In my opinion MacArthur have really good chances to make win in today's match up.

First match of the season between both teams finished with MacArthur 1:0 away win and that was deserved result: expected goals scored for MC 1.39, for Perth 0.79.

Today I see easier job for hosts because they are simply better team, in better form. Perth is the worst team in whole league - they recorded 10 losses in 18 matches and scored only 14 goals. In last round they avoided loss at home against Jets, but that wasn't deserved result at all - Jets had 1.89 expected goals scored, Perth only 0.87. On the other hand MacArthur is only 2 points behind third place so they still have big chances to have amazing season. They are without a win in last 3 matches, but all of them played against teams from top8. In last round they had draw 2:2 after close match against third Sydney. In last home game MacArthur played against leaders of the table from Melbourne. Despite loss 0:1, that was very good performance and they deserved for better results as both teams finished with exactly the same number of expected goals scored.

Hosts coming to this game with the best possible line up. On the other hand Perth js without their captain and key midfielder O'Neill, goalkeeper Jones (5 matches), defenders Ota (10 matches) and Bodnar (4 matches) and offensive players Sturridge (5 matches) and Keogh (10 matches). That should have bad impact on their performance today.

I see bigger chances for hosts than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，麦克阿瑟在今天的比赛中有很好的机会获胜。

两队在赛季的第一场比赛中以麦克阿瑟1:0的客场胜利结束，这是一个应得的结果:MC的预期进球为1.39，珀斯的预期进球为0.79。

今天，我认为东道主的工作更容易，因为他们的团队更好，状态更好。珀斯队是整个联赛中最差的球队——他们在18场比赛中输了10场，只进了14个球。在上一轮主场对阵喷气机队的比赛中，他们避免了失利，但这并不是他们应得的结果——喷气机队有1.89个预期进球，珀斯只有0.87个。另一方面，麦克阿瑟只落后第三名2分，所以他们仍然有很大的机会打出精彩的赛季。他们在过去的3场比赛中都没有赢过，但他们的对手都是排名前8的球队。在上一轮比赛中，他们与悉尼第三队进行了一场势均力敌的比赛，并以2:2打平。在上一场主场比赛中，麦克阿瑟与墨尔本的头名选手交手。尽管0:1输了，但这是非常好的表现，他们理应得到更好的结果，因为两队的预期进球数完全相同。

东道主带着最好的阵容来参加比赛。另一方面，珀斯队缺少了队长和关键中场奥尼尔，守门员琼斯(5场)，后卫奥塔(10场)和博德纳尔(4场)，进攻球员斯图里奇(5场)和基奥(10场)。那应该会对他们今天的表现产生不好的影响。

我认为东道主的胜算很大。