At Salzburg this has been as a Match of the Year, as a win would bring them into the CL playoffs for the first time in their history. Last season they had a similar situation, but even with a stronger squad (Haaland, Minamino) they lost by 2 goals.

The dress rehearsal in local league with a rotated squad went badly by losing away at Wacker by 0-1, but the focus naturally was in this game. Likewise it is at Atletico whom I previewed, and who gave another brilliant championlike performance vs Valladolid even while resting some key names.

Salzburg live and die with their work ethics and high pressure, and if there is any cheating in that the result will be unsatisfactory. Naturally in this game the motivation is 100%, and the squad situation also close to optimal as apart from long-term injuries they miss only midfielder Camara. Naturally the player to watch from hosts is left-winger Szoboslai, a Hungarian who got his country to the EURO2021, and who has scored superb goals from a distance.

Atletico will do with a point and for Diego Simeone it is not too much asked normally, but this season he has some much attacking skill in the team that they are probably not going to give up as much possession. The 4-4-2 format is very tight with close distances between lines, and as the majority of the team has together for a long time they move together as they had one single brain. It is crazy how many goals they have conceded in the CL so far compared to La Liga, but for sure the 2 goals conceded in local league is a huge benchmark! There have been other formations too this season, vs Valladolid it was a 3-4-1-2, on earlier seasons these experiments have not worked so well but perhaps now Simeone has the personnel to do it properly? In the last 6 games where 3-4-1-2 has been used both in La Liga and UCL Atletico have conceded only 1 goal!

The only important absentee is cb Gimenez, and especially for the midfield Simeone has now almost too possible choices with Thomas Lemar finally giving outstanding performances, but surely Simeone is not complaing!

A match between attack and defense, yes, but in the case of Atletico also the attack is very strong with Felix and Suarez, and I am rather confident that the strengths of Salzburg are truly eliminated here, and Atletico will win by 2 goals in the end. If you remember the last Atletico preview, they are world’s best team in the lead!

0-2

对于萨尔茨堡，这是年度最重要的比赛，因为如果能够取得胜利将使他们有史以来第一次进入欧冠淘汰赛。上个赛季，他们的情况也差不多，而且球队实力更强（哈兰德，南野），但他们依然输了2个球。

在当地联赛中，轮换阵容后他们的表现很糟糕，以0-1的比分输给了Wacker，但比赛的重点自然是这场比赛。同样周末马竞的比赛我进行了预测，即使在轮换了一些关键球员的情况下，对巴利亚多利德也拿出了出色的表现。

萨尔茨堡因高压而闻名，如果有任何失误，结果将不能令人满意。当然，在这场比赛中，他们的动力很足，除了长期受伤的球员以外，阵容的情况也接近最佳，他们只会缺少中场卡马拉。萨尔茨堡球员是索博斯莱（Szoboslai）值得关注，他是匈牙利人，他的国家进入了2021年欧洲杯，很擅长远射得分。

而对于马竞主教练Diego Simeone来说，通常不会要求太多，但是本赛季他的球队在进攻方面有所提升，他们可能不会放弃太多的控球权。 4-4-2阵型非常紧凑，线条之间的距离很近，并且由于大多球员在一起很长时间，他们可以保持一起移动。到目前为止，与西甲相比，他们在欧冠中丢了更多的球，这很疯狂，但是可以肯定的是，联赛中只有2个失球是一个巨大的成就！本赛季他们也有其他阵型，对阵巴利亚多利德使用的3-4-1-2，在较早的赛季中，这些实验效果不佳，但也许现在Simeone的球员可以准确地做到这一点。在西甲和欧冠马竞同时使用3-4-1-2的最近6场比赛中，只有1个失球！

唯一重要的缺席者是吉米内斯（cb Gimenez），中场球员西蒙（Simeone）现在可以有很多选择，托马斯（Thomas）Lemar最终表现出色，但Simeone当然不会抱怨！

是的，进攻与防守之间是对等的，马竞的费利克斯和苏亚雷斯的进攻能力也非常强大，我相当有信心萨尔茨堡的实力可能会在本场被淘汰，马竞将以2个进球的优势赢下比赛。上一篇分析我提到了，他们是目前最好的球队！

比分参考0-2