Right, so there is a lot of information to this game and almost all arrows are pointing towards Khimki. The circumstances Rubin finds itself before the Friday match are a bit unique, which make the bet against them sort of “default” or “obligatory”, if you wish.

First and foremost, Rubin is having a disastrous season. It comes as football’s revengeance on them for overachieving in the 2020/21 campaign. They are actually topping a lot of negative charts and have collected more points than they deserved even now in the 21/22 season. To give these arguments some context, even before the pornographic 1:6 loss to CSKA in the previous round, Rubin were “leading” the league in

quality of allowed chances from open play

number of allowed shots from open play

number of shots allowed from set-pieces

number of touches allowed inside their penalty box (actually 2nd worst)

They have the worst performing defense in the competition. Period.

The attacking line is not doing any better. 14th place for the quality of created chances, 13th place for the number of passes into opponents’ penalty box

No other club (but Krasnodar, to some extent) has suffered more from the current political situation with Ukraine, which has caused many players to flee Russia.

Rubin subsequently lost the following regulars, some of whom were key figures for the team:

Despotovic, Dreyer, Abildgaard, Begic, Hwang, Uremovic, Haksabanovic and, most recently, Khvicha. 8 (!) players - just in december 2021 before the league went on a winter break all of them were part of the starting lineup for Rubin. What’s more, the club’s not been able to sign and bring in adequate replacements. As a result the team is down to bare bones and the manager hardly has enough players to put together a competitive squad.

For the game vs. Khimki, to make matters worse (if that was even possible) - Rubin is without Lomovitskiy and Lisakovich as both are suspended. One of the few competitive players, who would’ve 200% made the starting lineup on Friday.

Khimki have problems of their own and have also felt the aftermath of the current crisis in Russia. Newly signed internationals Hugo Viana (central defender on loan from Braga) and Ze (another loanee, but from Belgium) have left shortly after joining. However, the impact on Khimki is not as substantial, there can be no 2nd opinion here. The chore of the team has been saved and this continuity has spurred them to a couple of positive results like the 0:0 draw vs. Sochi and the following 1:0 win away vs. gutsy Ural. If Rubin at the moment resembles a wrecked ship thrown into open waters, Khimki is a vessel with a clear course, crew and captain.

I believe this short review leaves no stones unturned regarding the bet here. One can get Khimki for +0.25 around 1.70sh, not a generous offer but at least something.

With this outrageous list of issues topped by two suspensions as if an icing on the cake, there could be no worse moment for Rubin to face Khimki.

这场有很多信息，几乎所有的因素都指向莫希姆基。喀山在比赛前出现了一些独特的情况，这对他们不是非常有利。

首先，喀山正在经历一个灾难性的赛季。这是他们在 2020/21 赛季的超水平表现的结果。实际上在很多负面数据的排行榜上名列前茅，即使在 21/22 赛季，他们也获得了比应得更多的积分。甚至在上一轮 1:6 输给 CSKA 之前，喀山就已经在这些数据上“领先”了

运动战比赛被对手创造机会的数量

被射门次数

定位球被射门次数

禁区内允许的触球次数（第二差）

他们的防守在比赛中表现最差。进攻线也好不到哪里去。

1创造机会的能力排名第 13 位，对方禁区传球次数排名第 13 没有，其他俱乐部（在某种程度上除了克拉斯诺达尔）受到乌克兰当前政治局势的影响更大，这导致许多球员离开俄罗斯。

喀山随后失去了以下常客，其中一些是球队的关键人物： Despotovic、Dreyer、Abildgaard、Begic、Hwang、Uremovic、Haksabanovic，以及最近的 Khvicha。8 名球员——就在 2021 年 12 月进入冬歇期之前，他们都是喀山首发阵容的常客。更重要的是，俱乐部无法签约并带来足够的替补球员。结果，这支球队只剩下了骨气，而主教练几乎没有足够的球员来组建一支有竞争力的球队。

对于与莫希姆基的比赛，更糟糕的是（如果可能的话）——喀山还会缺少洛莫维茨基和利萨科维奇，因为两人都被停赛。为数不多的有竞争力的球员之一，他们会 200%派上周五的首发阵容。

莫希姆基有自己的问题，也感受到了俄罗斯当前危机的后果。新签下的国脚乌戈·维亚纳（从布拉加租借的中卫）和泽（另一名租借人，但来自比利时）在加盟后不久就离开了。但是，对莫希姆基的影响并不大。球队被挽救了，这种连续性促使他们取得了一些积极的结果，比如 0:0 战平索契，以及接下来的 1:0 客场战胜乌拉尔。如果说喀山现在就像一艘被抛入公海的失事船，那么莫希姆基就是一艘拥有清晰航向、船员和船长的船只。

我相信我们可以支持莫希姆基，这不是一个巨大的收入，但至少可以盈利。 有了这些问题清单，两名停赛的球员就像锦上添花一样，喀山面临的最糟糕的时刻。