7th WINNER in row?
2022-03-31

Tapio

外籍分析师

北美预选

03/31 09:05

已完赛

解读理由:

Costa Rica vs USA

Costa Rica host USA for this North and Central America World Cup qualification third stage round 14 battle at Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica in San José. I believe the people of Costa Rica are pretty happy with their team’s performances in this qualification! They are in the fourth place with 22 points in to their account. The situation in this group is interesting indeed.. The top-3 countries qualify for the World Cup directly. The fourth-placed team advances to the inter-confederation play-offs. Most probably this team will be Costa Rica. Canada, somewhat surprisingly, lead the group with 28 points. Both USA and Mexico have grabbed 25 points in matches. If two teams end up having the same number of points, the team with a better goal difference will rank higher. Technically Costa Rica could topple Mexico – if Mexico loses to El Salvador at home today. This of course, is not a very probable outcome. However, we all know that anything can happen in football! Costa Rica making it to the top-3 would also require them winning USA by several goals. Mexico’s goal difference is 15:8 – Costa Rica’s is 11:8. They can, in theory, also of course finish higher than USA, whose goal difference is 21:8.


I’m positive the hosts must be very hungry for a good result here in front of their loud fans who have supported their countrymen well during the qualification campaign! The home advantage is indeed, substantial here. Some squad rotating might be possible, but I do not see this being a key factor when analyzing this match. Both teams have many high-quality players, the Americans have more offensive talent though. Once again I recommend my fans to watch especially Chelsea’s Christian Pulisic closely. He scored 3 goals in USA’s most recent against Panama at home a few days ago. Tyler Adams,23, who plays for Leipzig in the German Bundesliga is also a talented player. USA beat Panama 5-1 but Panama had 61% ball possession. They also recorded much more completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks! The 5-1 final score does not realistically reflect the events on the pitch. USA deserved the win though. They are definitely over-rated by the betting market here. Their FIFA ranking, 13rd, is unrealistically high too.


I do expect some goals and a fun match for football fans to watch here as Costa Rica have nothing to lose and will surely approach this match with an aggressive, offensive strategy. USA will surely create or get many scoring chances as well and will probably score. Costa Rica have won 5 of their latest 6 matches and even beat the very probable group winners Canada 1-0 at home last week! My fans and I easily won the bet on Costa Rica in this match. It was an excellent defensive performance from the hosts. After this Costa Rica took all 3 points in El Salvador with a 2-1 win. The betting market still under-values them - probably because they do not have any well-known super stars - and my fans and I have an excellent chance to win the 7th pick in a row with the Costa Rica +1 goal, 1x2 handicap option. We have also made excellent profit betting on this qualification group before! USA are only marginal favorites here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

哥斯达黎加将在圣José的哥斯达黎加国家体育场迎战美国队,进行这场北美和中美洲世界杯预选赛第14轮第三轮比赛。我相信哥斯达黎加人民对他们球队在这次预选赛中的表现非常满意!他们以22分排名第四。这个小组的情况确实很有趣。排名前三的国家将直接晋级世界杯。排名第四的球队将进入联盟间的季后赛。这支球队最有可能是哥斯达黎加。让人有些意外的是,加拿大以28分领先。美国队和墨西哥队在比赛中都得到了25分。如果两队得分相同,进球差越大的球队排名越高。如果墨西哥今天在主场输给萨尔瓦多,理论上哥斯达黎加可能会推翻墨西哥。当然,这不是一个非常可能的结果。然而,我们都知道在足球中任何事情都可能发生!哥斯达黎加要想进入前三,还需要多赢几个球。墨西哥的净胜球是15:8,哥斯达黎加的净胜球是11:8。从理论上讲,他们当然也可以比美国取得更高的成绩,后者的净胜球差为21:8。

我敢肯定东道主一定非常渴望在他们的球迷面前取得一个好结果,这些球迷在预选赛期间一直支持他们的同胞!这里的主场优势确实很明显。一些阵容轮换是可能的,但我不认为这是分析这场比赛的关键因素。两支球队都有很多高质量的球员,但美国人有更多的进攻天赋。我再一次推荐我的球迷们去看比赛,特别是切尔西的克里斯蒂安·普利西奇。他在几天前美国队主场对阵巴拿马的比赛中打入3球。效力于德甲莱比锡队的23岁的泰勒·亚当斯(Tyler Adams)也是一名天才球员。美国5-1击败巴拿马,但巴拿马有61%的控球权。他们也记录了更多的完成传球,攻击和危险的攻击!5-1的最终比分并不能真实地反映出球场上的情况。尽管如此,美国应该赢得这场比赛。他们肯定被中国的博彩市场高估了。他们在国际足联的排名,第13,也高得不现实。

我希望球迷们能在这里看到一些进球和一场有趣的比赛,因为哥斯达黎加没有什么可以失去的,他们肯定会用一种侵略性的进攻策略来接近这场比赛。美国队肯定会创造或得到很多得分机会,而且很可能会得分。哥斯达黎加在最近的6场比赛中赢了5场,甚至在上周的主场1-0击败了极有可能成为小组冠军的加拿大!我和我的球迷在这场比赛中轻松赢下了哥斯达黎加队的赌注。东道主的防守表现非常出色。在此之后,哥斯达黎加2-1战胜萨尔瓦多,拿下三分。博彩市场仍然低估了他们的价值——可能是因为他们没有任何著名的超级明星——而我和我的粉丝们有极好的机会赢得连续7顺位的哥斯达黎加+1球,1x2障碍选项。我们之前也曾在这个资格赛中获得过丰厚的利润!美国在这里是最受欢迎的。

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