7th WINNER in a row?
2022-03-31

Tapio

外籍分析师

北美预选

03/31 09:05

已完赛

解读理由:

Jamaica vs Honduras

Jamaica host Honduras for this North and Central America World Cup qualification third stage round 14 clash Independence Park in Kingston Thurday morning Beijing time. This is the last round of qualification. Both teams have had a disappointing campaign and were not even close to earning a ticket to the World Cup in Qatar later this year. Jamaica have grabbed 8 points so far and have taken 1 win. Honduras have just 4 points and will finish last in this group. Both teams have a few decent individuals but this match with nothing at stake will probably not turn out to be a “classic” in terms of entertainment value for football fans. It is, however, an awesome match to make money betting on! I expect a pretty lazy performance from both teams - a game with low intensity. Players will surely try to avoid injuries to make sure their career in their club is not affected negatively. With nothing at stake both teams for once have chance to try to control the ball and play more offensive football, but I still do not see a high-scoring match and do estimate the draw being a more probable result than the betting market does. The probability is 31%. This would be enough for me fans and myself to win the 7th pick in a row and continue winning on betting this qualification group! Honduras with the +0.5 goals handicap option is my recommended pick here with a 58% chance of winning. Both teams have struggled with scoring throughout the qualification. Jamaica have scored 10 goals so far – Honduras have found the net just 4 times. Jamaica do not have a great football culture by global standards and the atmosphere at Independence Park will probably not be that great today – especially after the lame results.. The home advantage is of course there but it is smaller than in an average match in this group. Jamaica’s FIFA ranking is 62nd, Honduras occupy the 78th position. However, in my opinion Honduras are better - and Jamaica worse by raw class than the FIFA ranking suggests.. The teams are almost equal in my view.


Neither team have achieved good results lately losing 4 of their recent 5 matches and taking one draw. However, Honduras have played slightly better than Jamaica lately! They surely do not have the better squad on average, but they have shown great fighting spirit in their latest 2 matches. Overall I would also say that they are better than the 4 points in the bank would reflect and have been a little unlucky in some matches. On the 5th of this month, they stole a point from Panama away from home. It was a 1-1 draw and a pretty balanced battle as big underdogs. The hosts had 59% ball possession , but Honduras fought hard and most importantly defended in an organized way. Panama only recorded one shot on goal - Honduras had 3. The visitors also had slightly more goal attempts. Jamaica, on the other hand, lost to Panama 2-3 in January. Last week against Mexico Honduras were holding on to a draw until Edson Alvarez scored the only goal in the match in the 70th minute. Mexico are a good team, and did fully deserve the win but again Honduras wanted to really do fight for themselves and their country. Mexico only managed to record two shots on target. Honduras had 1. Jamaica, on the other hand, were totally humiliated by the group leaders Canada losing 0-4 in their most recent match. They had 42% ball possession but could not do much with the ball offensively. Some of Jamaica's players looked lazy – even somewhat unmotivated. Canada recorded a total of whopping 20 goal attempts - poor Jamaica had just 2. Both teams are likely to rotate players here but I’m not sure if that really favors either team..

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周四上午,牙买加队主场迎战洪都拉斯队,在北美和中美洲世界杯预选赛第十四轮第三轮比赛中对阵独立公园队。这是最后一轮资格赛了。这两支球队的表现都令人失望,甚至连今年晚些时候卡塔尔世界杯的入场券都没有拿到。到目前为止,牙买加队已经拿下了8分,并取得了一场胜利。洪都拉斯目前只有4分,在小组中垫底。两支球队都有一些不错的球员,但这场毫无悬念的比赛可能不会成为球迷娱乐价值方面的“经典”。然而,这是一个令人敬畏的比赛来赚钱打赌!我希望两队的表现都很懒散——一场低强度的比赛。球员们肯定会尽量避免受伤,以确保他们在俱乐部的职业生涯不会受到负面影响。在没有任何赌注的情况下,两支球队都有机会控制球,踢出更具进攻性的足球,但我仍然没有看到一场高分比赛,而且我估计抽签结果比博彩市场更有可能。概率是31%。这将足够我的球迷和我自己赢得第7顺位,并继续赢得这个预选赛小组!洪都拉斯+0.5球的障碍选项是我在这里推荐的选择,有58%的机会获胜。两支球队在预选赛中都难以进球。到目前为止,牙买加已经进了10个球,而洪都拉斯只进了4个。以全球标准来看,牙买加并没有很好的足球文化,独立公园的气氛今天可能也不会那么好,尤其是在那场糟糕的比赛之后。主场优势当然是存在的,但它比这一组的平均比赛要小。牙买加在国际足联的排名是第62位,洪都拉斯排在第78位。然而,在我看来,洪都拉斯比国际足联的排名更好,而牙买加比国际足联的排名更差。在我看来,这两个队几乎势均力敌。

这两支球队最近都没有取得好的成绩,他们最近5场比赛都输了4场,还有1场平局。然而,洪都拉斯最近的表现略好于牙买加!他们当然没有更好的阵容,但他们在最近的两场比赛中表现出了伟大的战斗精神。总的来说,我想说的是,他们比在银行拿到4分要好,而且在一些比赛中有点不走运。本月5日,他们从家乡巴拿马偷走了一分。这是一场1比1的平局,是一场势均力敌的较量。东道主队有59%的控球率,但洪都拉斯队打得很艰苦,最重要的是防守很有组织。巴拿马只有一次射正,洪都拉斯有3次。客队也有更多的进球机会。另一方面,牙买加在1月份以2比3输给了巴拿马。在上周对阵墨西哥的比赛中,洪都拉斯一直保持着平局,直到埃德森·阿尔瓦雷斯(Edson Alvarez)在第70分钟攻入了比赛中唯一的一球。墨西哥是一支很好的球队,他们完全应该赢得这场胜利,但是洪都拉斯想要为他们自己和他们的国家而战。墨西哥队只命中了两枪。洪都拉斯有1。另一方面,牙买加队在最近的一场比赛中被小组第一加拿大队以0比4的比分淘汰,让他们颜面尽失。他们有42%的控球权,但在进攻上做得并不好。牙买加的一些球员看起来很懒惰——甚至有些缺乏动力。加拿大总共记录了20次进球,而可怜的牙买加只有2次。两支球队都有可能轮换球员,但我不确定这是否真的有利于两支球队。

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