Both to qualify? 世预赛 哥斯达vs美国
2022-03-30

Jarkko

外籍分析师

北美预选

03/31 09:05

已完赛

解读理由:

The latest mutual games give us a clue of the class difference.

The motivation factor is also very clear. This is the last round of the group, 3 best teams go directly to World Cup, the 4th will go to play-offs, the opponent is most likely New Zealand.

How does the table look?


So one point is enough for USA to secure the place, Costa Rica do need to win, and by a big margin. However as Costa Rica are 4 points clear of Panama they do not have to worry for their play-off spot.

The form is good at both camps result-wise, but looking behind the results we can estimate that Costa Rica has been mostly lucky, USA have been effective. Neither has fully impressed.

Last home game v group leaders Canada was a good example. Costa Rica managed to provoke a red card for Canadian midfielder Kaye already on the first half, they scored a bit later, but where in fact the worse side throughout the match and very lucky to win. Also in the 1-2 away win at El Salvador they were at no phase the better side.

USA have some excellent individuals who can decide matches on themselves, like Chelsea's Pulisic did last round when he scored a hat-trick vs Panama in the 5-1 win. Their 4 most expensive players are each worth more than the whole squad of Costa Rica, and all in all they are 10 times more valuable team if we compare the transfer market values. And then again, keeper Keylor Navas is on his own worth more than 50% of the rest of the Costa Rican team!

Money is not everything, but it is a good indicator when there are no dramatic team news or lack of motivation.

True, it would take a miracle to actually change the teams positions here in the table, but I see USA +50& winners here even if they can afford to lose. The internal competition in the team will take care of that!

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本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

最近的相互交手战绩让我们了解了两队实力的差异。

动机因素也很清楚。这是小组的最后一轮,3支最好的球队将直接进入世界杯,第四支将进入附加赛,对手最有可能是新西兰队。

积分看起来怎么样?

所以一分对美国队来说就足够了,哥斯达黎加需要赢得比赛,而且要有很大的优势。然而,由于哥斯达黎加以4分领先巴拿马,他们不必担心他们的附加赛席位。

两大阵营的形式都很好,但回顾结果,我们可以估计哥斯达黎加大部分是幸运的,美国是有效的。两者都没有给人留下深刻印象。

上一场主场比赛对小组领先者加拿大就是一个很好的例子。哥斯达黎加在上半场就给加拿大籍中场凯耶罚了一张红牌,之后他们又进了一球,但实际上他们在整场比赛中都表现不佳,并且很幸运的赢了比赛。在客场1-2战胜萨尔瓦多的比赛中,他们也没有表现出更好的状态。

美国有一些优秀的球员可以自己决定比赛,就像切尔西的普利西奇在上一轮5-1战胜巴拿马的比赛中上演帽子戏法一样。他们最昂贵的4名球员的身价都超过了整个哥斯达黎加队,如果我们比较转会市场的价值,他们的价值是整个哥斯达黎加队的10倍。然后再一次,守门员Keylor Navas是在他自己的价值超过哥斯达黎加队的其余50% !

钱不是一切,但当球队没有戏剧性的消息或缺乏动力时,钱是一个很好的指示器。

的确,要真正改变球队在积分榜上的位置需要一个奇迹,但我看到美国+50,并在这里赢得冠军,即使他们能承受失败。团队内部的竞争会解决这个问题!

预测比分0:2。

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