A winner from Japan?
2022-03-30

Tapio

外籍分析师

日乙

03/30 18:00

已完赛

解读理由:

JEF United Ichihara Chiba VS Albirex Niigata

JEF United Ichihara Chiba host Albirex Niigata for this round 7 of Japanese J2 League at Fukuda Denshi Arena Wednesday evening Beijing time. This is the second highest level of Japanese football. Japan has one of the best football cultures in Asia and their national team has succeeded well at the highest level and just qualified for The World Cup in Qatar later this year. In the World Cup 2018 they qualified from the group stage and were even close to upsetting the Belgian super stars. The level of this league is pretty good, for the second tier at least.. Most teams play organized, defensive football, and the average goal expectancy is low. This is the case here as well. I expect even more-low scoring battle than the betting market and many football analysts online. The probability of a draw is high - 34% - and that result would bring my fans and myself another winner with the host +0.5 goals handicap option. The probability of winning is 68%. The hosts play very defensive football – often even at home in front of their fans, but there have been rumors that their supporters would like to see more offensive football but we will see how the coach Jung-Hwan Yoon will approach this game..

Chiba have not been at their best so far this season but have room for improvement in both offense and defense. Many players have potential for better individual performances too. The best example is of this is perhaps the midfielder Tomoya Miki, 24. I must say, that Chiba have unlucky in their most recent matches, and this must be the key reason for them being under-valued by the betting market here.. In the round 6 they lost to Tochigi 1-2 away from home despite 69% ball possession. They also recorded close to 700 completed passes - the hosts had 217. Chiba also had much more attacks and dangerous attacks. Tochiga are currently in the 11th place in the standings. Albirex Niigata currently occupy the 6th position and Chiba are 15th - but the difference in points is just 2. In round 5 the hosts would have deserved a win but ended up being very unlucky and losing 0-1 at home to Kusatsu despite being clearly the better team with close to 60% ball possession and more than 3 times more shots than the visitors! According to Transfermarkt.com, a respectable German website, the visitors’ players’ total market value is slightly higher than that of the hosts. Indeed, my raw class they are a little better in my opinion as well, but with home advantage the hosts are narrow favorites!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

日本拥有亚洲最优秀的足球文化之一,他们的国家队在最高水平上取得了成功,今年晚些时候刚刚获得了卡塔尔世界杯的参赛资格。在2018年世界杯上,他们从小组赛阶段出线,甚至差点击败比利时超级球星。这个联赛的水平相当不错,至少对于二线来说是这样的。大多数球队踢的是有组织的防守足球,平均进球期望值很低。这里的情况也是如此。我预计比分会比博彩市场和许多在线足球分析师还要低。平局的概率很高——34%——这个结果会给我和我的球迷带来另一个冠军,东道主的障碍选项为+0.5。获胜的概率是68%。东道主踢的是非常防守的足球,甚至在主场的球迷面前也是如此,但有传言称,他们的球迷希望看到更进攻性的足球,但我们将看看主教练尹正焕会如何处理这场比赛。

千叶本赛季到目前为止还没有达到最佳状态,但在进攻和防守方面都有提升的空间。许多球员也有潜力取得更好的个人表现。最好的例子也许是24岁的中场三木朋也。我必须说,千叶在最近几场比赛中运气不佳,这一定是他们被这里的博彩市场低估的关键原因。在第6轮,尽管有69%的控球率,他们还是在客场1-2输给了枥木。他们还记录了近700次成功传球,而东道主有217次。千叶也有更多的攻击和危险的攻击。Tochiga目前排名第11位。新泻Albirex Niigata目前排在第6位,千叶排在第15位,但积分差只有2分。在第5轮,主队本应该赢得一场比赛,但最终却非常不幸,在主场0-1输给了草津,尽管他们明显是更好的球队,近60%的控球率和超过3倍的投篮次数!根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,游客玩家的总市值略高于东道主玩家。事实上,在我看来,我的原始级他们是一个更好的一点,但主场优势的主人是狭隘的偏爱!

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