Venezuela vs Colombia

Venezuela welcome Colombia for this round 18 clash of South America World Cup qualification at Estadio Cachamay in Ciudad Guayana Wednesday morning Beijing time. Similarly to a few other matches only one team can still dream of playing in The World Cup in Qatar later this year. This team is Colombia who are in a fierce battle with Peru and Chile in this very competitive qualification group. Indeed, Peru have 21 points in the bank and are clear favorites at home against Paraguya today. If Peru and Colombia end up with equal number of points, Peru will almost certainly finish higher. The reason for this is Peru’s clearly better goal difference and them losing heavily is very unlikely.. We must also add Chile into the mix – they are only one point behind Colombia - and will face Uruguay at home today and go into the match as favorites.

In matches where only one team has big motivation their chance can of winning easily increase by even as much as 10% and this is certainly the case here. However, the rationale behind this bet is still the fact that Colombia are much better than the hosts by raw class. They have better defense, midfield, and attack. Their FIFA ranking is 19th with 1585.89 points. Venezuela are ranked much lower, 58th with 1411.55 points. Venezuela do not have the best fans compared to other countries in this group so the home advantage is lower than on average in international football.

Venezuela are simply a bad team. They are the rock-bottom team in this group and have lost 13 of the 17 matches so far. Their goal difference is abysmal – 13:33. In their most recent match last week they were totally crushed away from home by Argentina’s stars losing 0-3. The Argentinians had 73% ball possession and Venezuela only recorded 185 completed passes – Argentina had 718! Amazingly unbalanced numbers at international level! Surely Argentina are a top team but still it was a bad performance from Venezuela. Before this they were humiliated by Uruguay, and were defeated 1-4. Uruguay are not even a top-team in this group.. Indeed, Venezuela have not really had a chance against any good countries in this group except for in match and do not really have potential for better performances. Colombia, on the other hand, comfortable swept past Bolivia 3-0 at home in their most recent match and similar performace would surely be enough to win here. Before this they fought well in Argentina despite the narrow 0-1 loss. I expect Colombia to put huge pressure on the hosts’ shaky defense right from the start here and them winning by more than one goal’s difference would not surprise me at all. The visitors -0.5 goals handicap is a solid choice for my fans and myself here!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周三上午，委内瑞拉迎战哥伦比亚参加在瓜亚纳城举行的南美世界杯预选赛第18轮比赛。和其他几场比赛一样，今年晚些时候卡塔尔世界杯也只有一支球队有机会参加。这支队伍是哥伦比亚队，他们正在与秘鲁和智利在这个竞争非常激烈的小组中进行激烈的竞争。事实上，秘鲁在银行中有21分，是今天在主场对阵巴拉圭队的明显热门。如果秘鲁和哥伦比亚得分相同，那么秘鲁几乎肯定会排在前面。原因是秘鲁的净胜球明显更好，他们输得太惨是不可能的。我们还必须把智利也算进去——他们只落后哥伦比亚一分——他们将在今天主场迎战乌拉圭，并作为夺冠热门进入比赛。

在只有一支球队有强大动力的比赛中，他们获胜的机会可以轻松增加甚至高达10%，这当然就是这种情况。然而，这个赌注背后的理由仍然是，哥伦比亚队在原始水平上比东道主强得多。他们有更好的防守，中场和进攻。他们在国际足联排名中以1585.89分排在第19位。委内瑞拉的排名要低得多，以1411.55分排在第58位。与该组其他国家相比，委内瑞拉并没有最好的球迷，因此主场优势低于国际足球比赛的平均水平。

委内瑞拉是一支糟糕的球队。他们是小组中垫底的球队，到目前为止已经输掉了17场比赛中的13场。他们的净胜球差非常大——13分33秒。在上周的最新一场比赛中，他们在主场被阿根廷球星0-3击败。阿根廷队有73%的控球率，委内瑞拉只有185次完成传球——阿根廷有718次!国际水平上惊人的不平衡数字!当然阿根廷是一支顶级球队，但委内瑞拉的表现仍然很糟糕。在此之前，他们被乌拉圭羞辱，以1比4的比分击败。乌拉圭队甚至都不是这个小组的领头羊。事实上，除了在比赛中，委内瑞拉并没有真正有机会对抗这一组的任何优秀的国家，也没有真正的潜力表现得更好。另一方面，哥伦比亚在最近的一场主场比赛中轻松地以3-0横扫玻利维亚，同样的表现肯定足以在这里赢得比赛。在此之前，他们在阿根廷打得很好，尽管以0-1险胜。我预计哥伦比亚从一开始就会给东道主不稳固的防守施加巨大压力，他们以超过一球的差距获胜对我来说一点也不意外。游客-0.5球的障碍是一个坚实的选择，我的球迷和我在这里!