Peru vs Paraguay

Peru host Paraguay for this round 18 clash of South America World Cup Qualification at Estadio Nacional de Lima. The situation is pretty clear here: Peru need probably need to win this one to keep the 5th place in the group and the dream of playing in the World Cup in Qatar later this year. Indeed, they currently occupy have grabbed 21 points in this very competitive group. Colombia have only one point less and Chile in the 7th and are in the fight as well with 19 points. Paraguay have nothing to really play for here as they only have 16 points in the bank. They are surely not a bad team and did win their most recent match 3-1 at home against Ecuador. However, the result does not illustrate the events on the pitch at all! Ecuador had 57% ball possession and more scoring chances and shots on target. Ecuador also recorded more completed passes and attacks. Ecuador are a good team, and this suprsing win seems to have led to Paraguay being over-rated here on the betting market.

The hosts are definitely the better team here by raw class and played well in against Uruguay in their most recent match despite the narrow 0-1 away fron home loss. I see them being better than Paraguay in all areas of the game. Paragua are also a bad team away from home and have lost 4 of their most recent matches outside Paraguay. Peru's FIFA ranking is also a lot higher – 22th. Paraguay are ranked in the 50th place. Peru have great home fans and the home advantage is indeed substantial here. In situations where only one team has big motivation their chance can of winning easily increase by even as much as 10%. The hosts are big favorites here and even a win with more than one goal’s difference would not surprise me at all. I think we will see some goals here and this should be entertaining to watch for football lovers! Paraguay seem to attacks attack more aggressively than before now that they have nothing at stake anymore. They do have more offensive potential than the number of goals scored, 12, would indicate.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

秘鲁将在利马国家体育场迎战巴拉圭，这是南美洲世界杯预选赛的第18轮比赛。这里的情况很清楚:秘鲁可能需要赢得这场比赛，才能保住小组第五名的位置，并实现今年晚些时候参加卡塔尔世界杯的梦想。事实上，他们目前在这个竞争非常激烈的小组中占据了21分。哥伦比亚只比智利少一分，智利排在第7位，同样以19分的成绩出战。巴拉圭在这里没有真正的比赛，因为他们在银行只有16分。他们当然不是一支糟糕的球队，最近在主场以3-1战胜了厄瓜多尔。然而，这个结果根本不能说明球场上发生的事情!厄瓜多尔有57%的控球率和更多的得分机会和射正机会。厄瓜多尔也有更多的传球和进攻记录。厄瓜多尔是一支优秀的球队，这场意外的胜利似乎让巴拉圭在博彩市场上被高估了。

虽然主场0:1负于乌拉圭队，但主队在最近一场对阵乌拉圭的比赛中表现出色。我看到他们在比赛的各个方面都比巴拉圭强。巴拉圭也是一支糟糕的球队，他们最近在巴拉圭以外的地方输了4场比赛。秘鲁在国际足联的排名也高得多——第22位。巴拉圭排在第50位。秘鲁有很棒的主场球迷，主场优势在这里确实很明显。在只有一个团队有很大动力的情况下，他们获胜的机会可以轻松增加甚至高达10%。东道主是这里最受欢迎的球队，即使是一场多进一球的胜利也不会让我感到惊讶。我认为我们会在这里看到一些进球，这对足球爱好者来说应该是一场有趣的比赛!巴拉圭的进攻似乎比以前更有侵略性，现在他们已经没有什么危险了。他们确实有更多的进攻潜力，比进球数(12)所显示的还要多。