Portugal asian handicap -2 is my bet here.

Portugal is in great form. Has to play this playoffs as they lost the crucial game against Serbia in the group stage unluckily, conceding the goal in the last action. Maybe if that goal had VAR Portugal would never have been in this situation, even with that mistake there are really no excuses for the embarrassing group stage and situation where they are.

But they reacted and made a great performance in the last game against Turkey, winning 3:1. Upfront they were almost stoppable, with very talented players and playing so well. The best thing is that they have a lot of alternatives and several top players in attack.

When Portugal has to be serious and the game matters, they perform pretty well. Against Serbia several players were in bad form, but today a lot of them are in their best moment.

Several key players, especially at the back (which was Portugal’s weak point against Turkey): Pepe, Cancelo and Renato Sanches.

On the other hand, North Macedonia made a miracle in the victory against Italy 0:1. They made an impressive group stage, beating Germany on the road. It’s a very solid team, hard to beat and rivals must give their best and show a lot of talent in attack to beat them.

In the game against Italy they were totally outplayed, with just 0.17 xG (expected goals) against 2.78 for Italy, where the Italians missed several clear chances and Macedonia scored a lucky and great goal in the last action of the game.

I think that Portugal will control the game and show their best level. Will play at home a crucial game to qualify for the World Cup (probably the last for Cristiano Ronaldo), so the motivation will be huge. Furthermore, need to add that they played both games in Portugal while Macedonia had to play in Italy and now travel to Portugal (less rest, both games almost without fans support). The victory against Italy is a great warning for Portugal: they need to be at 100% or will be eliminated as well.

The main point for me is to see again an offensive team by coach Fernando Santos. He has been criticized because he use to put defensive lineups and strategies, and against Turkey he put a very offensive team with Ronaldo, Jota, Otavio, Bernardo Silva, Bruno Fernandes. And they made a great performance, so he should do the same here.

Their weak point against Turkey (defense) will be solved today with the back of Pepe and Cancelo. If Macedonia allows Portugal the same chances thatItaly had, will concede several goals for sure.

Macedonia will try to do the same as always: a defensive game. And this type of defensive team dont use to do well against Portugal. They have weaknesses on defense, so rivals need to press high to take advantage of this. When Turkey started to play risky is when they started to create more chances.

Seeing the quality in both teams (especially upfront for Portugal), the kind of game I’m expecting and the home advantage, two goals difference is the minimum I expect here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

葡萄牙状态很好。他们不得不参加这次的附加赛，因为他们在小组赛中不幸输掉了对塞尔维亚的关键比赛，在最后一场比赛中失球。也许如果那个进球有VAR的话，葡萄牙就不会陷入这样的境地，即使犯了那样的错误，他们也没有借口去为尴尬的小组赛和处境辩解。

但他们在最后一场对土耳其的比赛中做出了回应，并表现出色，以3:1获胜。他们的锋线几乎是不可阻挡的，他们的球员都很有天赋，而且打得很好。最好的事情是他们有很多选择和几个顶级球员在进攻。

当葡萄牙必须认真对待比赛的时候，他们表现得非常好。在对阵塞尔维亚的比赛中，有几名球员状态不佳，但今天他们中的很多人都处于最佳状态。

几个关键球员，特别是后防线(这是葡萄牙对土耳其的弱点):佩佩，坎塞洛和雷纳托桑切斯。

另一方面，北马其顿在0:1战胜意大利的比赛中创造了奇迹。他们在小组赛中表现出色，客场击败了德国队。这是一支非常坚固的球队，很难被击败，对手必须尽自己最大的努力，在进攻上展现出很多天赋才能击败他们。

在对意大利的比赛中，他们被彻底击败，只有0.17 xG(预期进球)对意大利2.78，意大利失去了几个明显的机会，而马其顿在最后一场比赛中打进了一个幸运而伟大的进球。

我认为葡萄牙将会控制比赛，展现他们最好的水平。将在主场进行一场至关重要的比赛，从而获得世界杯出线资格(可能是克里斯蒂亚诺·罗纳尔多的最后一场比赛)，所以动力将是巨大的。此外，需要补充的是，他们在葡萄牙踢了两场比赛，而马其顿必须在意大利比赛，现在要去葡萄牙(很少休息，两场比赛几乎没有球迷支持)。对意大利的胜利对葡萄牙来说是一个很好的警告:他们需要100%的进球，否则也会被淘汰。

对我来说，最重要的是再次看到主教练费尔南多·桑托斯的进攻阵容。他因为使用防守阵容和战术而受到批评，在对阵土耳其的比赛中，他使用了罗纳尔多、霍塔、奥塔维奥、贝尔纳多·席尔瓦和布鲁诺·费尔南德斯组成的进攻阵容。他们的表演很精彩，所以他在这里也应该如此。

他们对土耳其的弱点(防守)将在今天佩佩和坎塞洛的支持下得到解决。如果马其顿给葡萄牙和意大利一样的机会，肯定会丢几个球。

马其顿将一如既往地采取防守战术。而这种防守方式在对阵葡萄牙的比赛中并不常用。他们在防守上有弱点，所以对手需要高压来利用这一点。当土耳其开始冒险的时候，他们开始创造更多的机会。

看到两支球队的实力(尤其是葡萄牙队)，我所期待的那种比赛和主场优势，两粒进球的差距是我在这里所期望的最小值。