Iraq vs United Arab Emirates

Iraq host United Arab Emirates for this Asia World Cup qualification third stage round 9 battle at King Fahd Stadium in Riyadh. The match was expected to be played in Baghdad – for the first time in almost 20 years, but was moved to Saudi-Arabia because of security concerns.. This of course almost removes the home advantage for Iraq here! I believe the betting market has not fully taken this factor into account! I also suspect that all bettors do not even know about this - indeed the venue is still Al-Madina Stadium on many websites! The stakes are high and I expect only one or two goals here – even a goalles draw would not be a big surprise.. Goal expectancy is the almost always pretty low in pretty balanced international matches.. A draw – probability for this result is 33-34% - would bring my fans and myself yet another winner betting on World Cup qualifying matches. Indeed, United Arab Emirates +1 with the 1x2 handicap is a solid choice here with 72% chance of winning! The domestic league in United Arab Emirates, UAE League, is surprisingly high-level nowadays – mainly because of many old former top-class players playing there. The visitors are definitely the favorites to win here!

A direct qualification is no longer possible for neither team, but there is still a chance to earn a ticket for the next round of qualification. The visitors are third in this group with nine points in the bank in eight games. They lost to Iran in their most recent match 0-1 away from home but played pretty well. They had 60% ball possession and recorded more completed passes and attacks.. They would have deserved at least a draw. We must also remember that Iran are a good team and are historically a strong team at home. I believe this loss affects the odds too much here – the visitors are clearly under-valued by the betting market!

Iraq, on the other hand, have not won any of their 8 qualifying group matches! They have, however, beaten Zambia and Uganda this year but those wins do not really excite me coming into this match. They are in the 5th place in a group of 6 teams and have just 5 points in the bank.. They have scored just 5 goals and have a shaky defense too. The visitors have a pretty solid defense, and Iraq would need to improve a lot to win here.. They were quite disappointing in their most recent match in Sidon versus Lebanon - a pretty lowly team at was a 1-1 draw. They need a win here to keep their slim qualification chances alive, but I see them perhaps being too aggressive, taking too big risks if the score is level in the later stages of the match. Most importantly though, they are very limited in terms of offensive quality.. In the level score scenario the visitors have a good chance to punish them through fast counterattacks!

伊拉克将在利雅得法赫德国王体育场举办本次亚洲世界杯资格赛第三阶段第 9 轮比赛的阿拉伯联合酋长国。这场比赛预计将在巴格达举行——这是近 20 年来的第一次，但出于安全考虑，比赛被转移到了沙特阿拉伯。这当然几乎消除了伊拉克的主场优势！我相信博彩市场并没有完全考虑到这个因素！我还怀疑所有投注者甚至都不知道这一点——事实上，许多网站上的场地仍然是 Al-Madina 体育场！赌注很高，我预计这里只有一两个进球——即使是进球平局也不会让人感到意外。在相当平衡的国际比赛中，进球预期几乎总是很低。平局——这个结果的概率是 33 -34% - 会给我的粉丝和我自己带来另一个投注世界杯预选赛的赢家。事实上，阿拉伯联合酋长国 +1 的 1x2 让分是一个可靠的选择，有 72% 的获胜机会！这阿联酋国内联赛，阿联酋联赛，如今的水平出乎意料的高——主要是因为那里有很多老前辈的顶级球员。客队绝对是在这里获胜的最爱！

两支球队都无法直接晋级，但仍有机会获得下一轮资格赛的入场券。客队在本组中排名第三，在八场比赛中积 9 分。他们最近在客场0-1输给了伊朗，但打得不错。他们拥有 60% 的控球率，并且记录了更多完整的传球和进攻。他们至少应该得到一场平局。我们还必须记住，伊朗是一支优秀的球队，在历史上也是一支强大的主场球队。我相信这次损失对这里的赔率影响太大了——投注市场显然低估了游客的价值！

另一方面，伊拉克在预选赛的8场小组赛中没有赢过任何一场！然而，他们今年击败了赞比亚和乌干达，但那些胜利并没有真正让我兴奋参加这场比赛。他们在 6 支球队中排在第 5 位，在银行中只有 5 分。他们只进了 5 个球，防守也很不稳定。客队的防守相当稳固，伊拉克需要提高很多才能在这里获胜。他们在最近一场西顿对阵黎巴嫩的比赛中非常令人失望——一支相当低劣的球队以 1-1 战平。他们需要在这里取胜才能保住他们微薄的晋级机会，但我认为他们可能过于激进，如果在比赛的后期阶段比分持平，就会冒太大的风险。但最重要的是，他们的进攻质量非常有限。在等级得分场景中，客队有很好的机会通过快速反击来惩罚他们！