In my opinion Japan have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.
Win will give qualification for Japan, so stake is big. On the other hand draw is good result for them also - they will need one point in deciding match. Australia is under huge pressure because they have to win in today's match to have realistic chances for promotion without play offs. Japanese coach Hajime Moriyasu said very interesting things before today's match in Sydney: "Our plan is to win, not to draw. As the game goes on our plan might change ... but we are going out there to win. We have to want it more than the Australians."
First match between both teams finished with Japan 2:1 win at home and that was fully deserved result. They also have big mental advantage as they didn't lost against Australia in last 8 consecutive matches in all competitions.
Japanese is still without defender Tomiyasu, but they played without him in last match when they won 2:0 at home against first Saudi Arabia. There is also great info because key defender and team captain Yoshida back to the team and he should bring a lot of confidence for defensive formation which already works great - so far Japan conceded only 3 goals.
Australia have big squad problems before today's match, in middle zone and in offensive formation. Today they are without offensive midfielder Rogic, wingers Goodwin & Irvine, central midfielders Mooy and McGree. Those players scored 4 of last 6 Australia goals. It's a huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance today.
In those circumstances I see great chances for Japan to avoid loss in this game.
本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
在我看来,日本在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。
获胜将使日本获得参赛资格,所以赌注很大。另一方面,平局对他们来说也是一个好结果——他们需要一分来决定比赛。澳大利亚承受着巨大的压力,因为他们必须在今天的比赛中获胜,才能在没有附加赛的情况下获得实际的晋级机会。日本队教练森泰肇在今天悉尼的比赛前说了一件非常有趣的事情:“我们的计划是赢,而不是平局。随着比赛的进行,我们的计划可能会改变。但我们要去赢。我们必须比澳大利亚人更想要它。”
两队的第一场比赛在日本主场以2:1获胜,这是一个完全应得的结果。他们也有很大的心理优势,因为他们在所有比赛中连续8场都没有输给澳大利亚。
日本仍然没有后卫富泰,但他们在上一场主场2:0战胜沙特阿拉伯的比赛中没有富泰。因为关键的后卫和队长吉田回到了球队,他应该会给防守阵型带来很多信心,这已经很好了——到目前为止日本只丢了3个球。
澳大利亚在今天的比赛之前,在中场和进攻阵型上都有很大的问题。今天他们失去了进攻中场罗基奇,边锋古德温和欧文,中场穆伊和麦克格里。这些球员在澳大利亚队最近的6个进球中占了4个。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常坏的影响。
在这种情况下,我认为日本很有可能在这场游戏中避免失败。