If that will make today difference? 5/5!争取5连红
2022-03-23

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外籍分析师

日乙

03/23 18:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Ryukyu have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Both teams didn't started current season in good style. After 5 rounds Oita is in relegation zone, Ryukyu is only one point above them.

Ryukyu coming for this game without any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round when they lost 1:2 at home against Mito. In overall that was good, offensive match from both sides. Ryukyu so far played two away matches and collected 4 points in the process. In last away match they won 3:2 against Renofa, looks like counter attacks suits their game style. Ryukyu don't have big problems with goalscoring - they scored at least one goal in 9 of last 10 league matches.

On the other hand Oita conceded at least one goal in last 10 consecutive matches in all competitions (19 goals in total). They are without confidence at the moment as they are still winless in current season. In last round they failed to win at home (1:1) against Renofa despite 1:0 advantage in that game. For me looks like coach Takahiro Shimotaira lost control little bit - in last round he switched tactic from 4/3/3 to 4/2/3/1. He not trust his first plan anymore?

Pressure is on home side, no doubt about that. They are team with bigger budget and expectations are much bigger also. In current situation it's not helpful at all.

Ryukyu have huge advantage in fitness department before today's match. For Ryukyu is 4th match in March only. Oita players feels tiredness because for them is already 7th match in March (!!!). They played 3 matches more than Ryukyu this month. That can make big difference today.

All in all, Ryukyu have much bigger chances to make at least one point today than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,琉球在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

这两支球队本赛季的开局都不是很好。5轮后,大分进入降级区,琉球仅领先他们一分。

琉球将在没有新人缺席的情况下参加这场比赛,所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮主场1:2输给水户的时候一模一样。总的来说,这是一场不错的比赛,双方都有进攻。到目前为止,琉球在客场打了两场比赛,积了4分。在上一场客场比赛中,他们3:2战胜了雷诺法,看起来反击很适合他们的比赛风格。琉球在进球方面没有太大的问题——他们在最近10场联赛中有9场至少进了一个球。

相反,大分在最近10场比赛(共19个进球)中至少丢了一个球。他们现在没有信心,因为他们在这个赛季仍然没有赢过。在上一轮比赛中,尽管他们在主场1比0的优势,但他们未能以1比1击败雷诺法。在我看来,教练Takahiro Shimotaira有点失控了——在上个回合,他把战术从4/3/3换成了4/2/3/1。他不再相信自己的第一个计划了吗?

压力来自主场,这是毫无疑问的。他们是拥有更大预算的团队,期望也更大。在目前的情况下,这一点帮助也没有。

在今天的比赛之前,琉球在健身方面有巨大的优势。对于琉球来说,这是3月的第4场比赛。大分的球员感到疲惫,因为他们已经是3月的第7场比赛了(!!)这个月他们比琉球多打了3场比赛。这在今天可以产生很大的影响。

总而言之,琉球队今天至少得一分的机会,要比博彩公司按照他们的赔率给我们提出的建议大得多。

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