In my opinion Den Haag have really good chances to make win in today's match up.

In overall hosts have very good record against Telstar as they recorded 21 wins in 35 matches against them. First match of the season between both teams finished with comfortable 2:0 away win for Den Haag and that was fully deserved result, they have good mental advantage today.

Hosts coming for this game without any new absences so their line up should look exactly the same like in previous round when they played at home against 2nd Volendam (1:1). That was very unfortunate result - Den Haag played better than their strong opponents, but conceded equaliser in 90+5. For sure team now have big motivation to bounce back on good track soon as possible. Midfielder Gregor Breinburg coming back to the squad and this is good sign - with him on the pitch team didn't lost any match in current season (12 wins in 15 matches). Den Haag will do everything to get promotion into Eredivisie. That was their place for so many years, but if they wants to achieve that goal, they have to win such matches at home, against lower rank opponents like Telstar, without any excuses. Den Haag so far won 9 of 13 home matches and scored 31 goals in the process.

Telstar simply plays for nothing till end of the season as they already 16 points behind top8. Currently they are on 16th place and it's about their potential as they finished last season on 13th place. They are worse than ADO in every department - they created less big chances to score (ADO 47, Telstar 37), they conceded more goals (1.4 per game, Telstar 1.9) and they are worse with the ball (less accurate passes per game and lower average ball possession). In addition to that Telstar have big squad problems before today's match, they are without 4 defenders: Tugarinov (11 matches), Berenstein (18 matches), Liesdek (20 matches) and Vlijter (14 matches). Second-best scorer Smit (7 goals) is unavailable, best scorer Plet (9 goals) is very doubtful. It's huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

ADO don't have problems with goalscoring at home, Telstar conceded more than one goal in 5 of last 6 matches and today I can image more than one goal for hosts with Telstar depleted defensive formation. On the other hand Telstar shouldn't score too many goals without their offensive stars.

All in all, home win looks like the best possible bet for today.

在我看来，海牙在今天的比赛中有很大的取胜机会。

总体而言，主队对特尔斯达的战绩非常好，他们在与特尔斯达的 35 场比赛中取得了 21 场胜利。本赛季首场比赛，他们客场2:0轻松取胜，这是当之无愧的结果，他们今天的心理优势很大。

主队没有新的缺席参加本场比赛，他们的阵容应该与上一轮主场对阵第 2 名沃伦丹 (1:1) 时的阵容完全相同。那是一个非常不走运的结果——海牙表现得比对手要好，但在 90+5分钟 被对手扳平比分。可以肯定的是，球队现在有很大的动力尽快恢复到良好的轨道上。中场球员格雷戈尔·布林伯格重返球队，这是一个好兆头——他在球场上的海牙在本赛季没有输掉任何一场比赛（15场比赛12胜）。海牙将尽一切努力升回荷甲。上一次踢荷乙已经是很多年前了，但要想达到这个目标，就必须在主场赢下这样的比赛，面对像特尔斯达这样实力比较弱的对手，没有任何借口。到目前为止，海牙赢得了 13 场主场比赛中的 9 场，并在此过程中打进了 31 个进球。

特尔斯达一直到赛季结束都没有了目标，他们已经落后前 8 名 16 分。目前他们排在第 16 位，这与他们的实力有关，因为他们上赛季排名第 13 位。他们在每个方面都比海牙更差——他们创造的得分机会更少（海牙 47，特尔斯达 37），丢球更多（海牙每场 1.4 个，特尔斯达1.9），他们的控球更差（每场传球准确率更低，较低的平均控球率）。特尔斯达在今天的比赛前有很大的阵容问题外，他们缺少4名后卫：图加里诺夫（11场比赛）、贝伦斯坦（18场比赛）、利斯德克（20场比赛）和弗利特（14场比赛）。第二得分手斯密特（7 球）缺席，最佳得分手普莱特（9 球）出战存疑，对球队有巨大打击，应该对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

海牙在主场进球方面没有问题，特尔斯达在过去 6 场比赛中有 5 场失球超过 1 个，今天在特尔斯达的防守阵型已经耗尽的情况下，海牙会有不止一个进球。另一方面，特尔斯达缺少了明星球员的情况下不会进太多球。

总而言之，海牙获胜似乎是今天最好的选择。