Roma vs Lazio
Roma host Lazio at Stadio Olimpico for this Italian Serie A round 30 clash very early on Monday Beijing time. The Italian Serie A is the 4th best league is Europe and whilst is a few matches are high-scoring the matches are still good entertainment for football fans and there are great players in this league! Today recommend by fans to follow especially Lazio’s star striker Ciro Immobile scored the only goal against Venezia on Monday. He is also an European champion with Italy from last summer. This will likely be a very intense Rome derby and I expect a lot of cards – even red card(s) would hardly be a surprise. In derbys the home advantage is lower than in "normal" matches. The goal expectancy is, in my opinion, lower than the betting market and many football journalists seems to believe.. Neither team wants to lose this one and especially the first 25-30 minutes will probably be pretty cautious football. The probability of a draw is of course increased as a result of pretty low number of expected goals, and surely exceeds 30% here. Indeed, my fans and I have a very good chance of winning the bet on Lazio +1 with the 1x2 handicap option.
None of Roma’s 5 latest matches have in fact gone over the 2.5 goals line. They seem to have immense problems with creating good-quality scoring chances - and also with making the most of the chances they get. I would say they were even a little lucky to qualify on Thursday, despite being big favorites, against Dutch team Vitesse in the Conference league. The 3 days preparation time is not optimal (it is too short) in football, so Lazio have an advantage here in this department. We must remember that Vitesse are a much smaller team than Roma by players’ total market value according to Transfermarkt.com. Roma’s striker Tammy Abraham, 22, scored the 1-1 goal 90+1 minutes to save his team from a total humiliation. Roma did record 17 scoring chances but few of these were dangerous, and they only managed to shoot twice on target. They once again lacked offensive structure and creativity! Vitesse had over 60% ball possession and recorded a lot more completed passes, which tells a lot about the match.. Roma can surely improve but will it be enough against a good team Lazio who are definitely better than Roma at the moment? I have my doubts on that.. Lazio played a very solid match on Monday at home against Venezia only allowing the visitors only 0.34 in expected goals. Lazio’s number was 1.64. Before this they swept past a relatively dangerous home team Cagliari 3-0 away from home. A good performance indeed!
北京时间周一凌晨,罗马将在奥林匹克体育场主场迎战拉齐奥,参加意甲第 30 轮比赛。意甲意甲是欧洲第四好的联赛,虽然有几场比赛得分很高,但这些比赛对于球迷来说仍然是很好的娱乐,这个联赛中有很多伟大的球员!今天被球迷推荐关注,尤其是拉齐奥的明星前锋西罗因莫比莱在周一对阵威尼斯的比赛中打进了唯一的进球。从去年夏天开始,他也是意大利的欧洲冠军。这可能是一场非常激烈的罗马德比,我预计会有很多牌——即使是红牌也不会让人感到意外。在德比中,主场优势低于“正常”比赛。在我看来,目标预期低于投注市场,许多足球记者似乎都相信.. 两支球队都不想输掉这一球,尤其是前 25-30 分钟可能会非常谨慎。由于相当低,平局的概率当然会增加预期目标的数量,在这里肯定超过 30%。确实,我和我的球迷很有可能通过 1x2 让分选项赢得对拉齐奥 +1 的投注。
事实上,罗马最近的 5 场比赛都没有超过 2.5 球。他们似乎在创造高质量的得分机会方面存在巨大问题 - 以及充分利用他们获得的机会。我想说,尽管他们是大热门,但他们在周四的联赛中对阵荷兰队维特斯,还是有点幸运的。 3天的准备时间在足球界并不是最佳的(太短了),所以拉齐奥在这个部门有优势。我们必须记住,根据 Transfermarkt.com 的数据,就球员的总市值而言,维特斯是一支比罗马小得多的球队。 22 岁的罗马前锋塔米亚伯拉罕在 90+1 分钟打进了 1-1 的进球,将他的球队从彻底的耻辱中拯救出来。罗马确实记录了 17 次得分机会,但其中很少有危险,他们只成功射门两次。他们再次缺乏进攻结构和创造力!维特斯拥有超过 60% 的控球率,并记录了更多完成的传球,这说明了很多关于比赛的情况。罗马肯定会有所进步,但面对一支目前绝对比罗马更好的强队拉齐奥就足够了吗?我对此表示怀疑。拉齐奥周一在主场对阵威尼斯的比赛中表现非常出色,只让客队的预期进球数仅为 0.34。拉齐奥的号码是1.64。在此之前他们客场3-0横扫了一个相对危险的主队卡利亚里。确实是不错的表现!