It's a late call from me, but odds on Bordeux raised by 0.20 from opening odds and now I see excellent value on home side.

In first match between both teams in current season Bordeux record comfortable 2:0 away win and that was fully deserved win - expected goals scored for Bordeux 1.94, for Angers 0.60.

Bordeux is in much better form and they have much bigger potential upfront. Angers in last 7 matches recorded two wins, but both wins were really undeserved. 4 rounds ago they won 2:1 at home against Marseille - expected goals score for Angers 0.61, for Marseille 1.37. 3 rounds ago they won 2:1 on away against Lille, but once again Angers were very lucky to score there 2 goals (expected goals scored: 0.38). Angers have real problems with creativity - in last 7 matches in a row their expected goals scored number always was below 0.99. Angers lost last two matches in a row to nil, so morale in team must be on very low level.

How to compare that with Bordeux? Bordeux coming here full of confidence, they won last 2 matches in a row. Both wins were deserved, in last round they trashed 3:0 Nice on away - expected goals scored for Bordeux 2.28, for Nice 0.78. Bordeux don't have problems with creativity - in 4 of last 5 matches they had expected goals scored number above 0.99. Bordeux lost only one of last 5 matches, 1:3 at home against Reims, but only on paper that was easy win for Reims - in reality that was very even game (expected goals scored for Bordeux 1.08, for Reims 1.12).

Angers with their offensive problems should have huge troubles today. Bordeux defensive formation is extremely hard to break - Bordeux kept clean sheet already 11 times in 20 matches, this is second-best result in league (only PSG have more).

Bordeux as well is solid home team - they went unbeaten in 57 of last 80 home league matches. Angers is poor away team - they failed to win in 58 of last 80 away league matches.

Bordeux deserve to be bigger favorite in today's match.

在本赛季两队的第一场比赛中，波尔多队以2:0轻松取胜，这是完全应得的胜利——波尔多队的预期进球为1.94，愤怒队为0.60。

波尔多的状态要好得多，他们在前线有更大的潜力。昂热在过去的7场比赛中取得了两场胜利，但这两场胜利都是不应得的。4轮之前，他们在主场2:1战胜了马赛——预期进球为昂热0.61，马赛队1.37。3轮之前，他们客场2:1战胜里尔，但昂热再一次非常幸运地在那里进了2球(预期进球:0.38)。昂热球员在创造力方面确实存在问题——在最近的7场比赛中，他们的预期进球数总是低于0.99。昂热连续两场比赛都掉了比赛并且没有进球，所以球队的士气肯定很低。

波尔多充满信心地来到这里，他们连赢了最后两场比赛。两场胜利都是实打实的，上一轮他们客场3:0击败了尼斯——波尔多的预期进球是2.28，尼斯0.78。波尔多在创造力方面没有问题——在最近5场比赛中，他们有4场预期的进球都在0.99以上。在过去的5场比赛中，波尔多只输了一场，在主场1:3输给了兰斯，但只是在理论上，兰斯很容易获胜——实际上那是一场非常平局的比赛(波尔多的预期进球是1.08，兰斯是1.12)。

对他们攻击性问题的愤怒在今天应该有很大的麻烦。波尔多的防守阵型非常难破，在20场比赛中已经有11次没有失球，这是联赛第二好的成绩(仅次于巴黎圣日耳曼)。

波尔多也是一支稳固的主场球队——他们在过去80场主场比赛中有57场保持不败。愤怒队是一支贫穷的客场球队——他们在最近的80场客场比赛中有58场没有赢球。

波尔多在今天的比赛中更受欢迎。