Some hits against Napoli today have opened up decent value for a bet, in my opinion.

The thing with Spaletti’s team is their general inability to perform well against top opponents. As a few examples - 2-4 loss against Barcelona in Europa League, 1-1 draws vs. Juventus and Inter, 0-1 loss to AC Milan. The results against teams from top 6 have been mixed and very often Napoli is struggling to show their best football in such games.

When it comes to facing sides from the 2nd part of the table, especially on home soil, Napoli have made significant progress this season. Torino, Cagliari, Salernitana, Bologna were all beaten with relative comfort. The key to success in this campaign has been exceptionally solid defense. Just 10 conceded goals in home games is the 2nd best result after Juventus.

Napoli should also take benefits from being free of European Cups. The 1 game per week cycle suits them perfectly, especially with their squad being quite thin in many positions.

Udinese is one of the worst teams on the road in Serie A 2021/22. They’ve only collected 2 wins to this day and, interestingly, have had less games on the road than any other team in the competition (13 on par with Salernitana).

They have delivered some ok results in recent weeks but I’d have every performance as an individual case. The home 1-1 result vs. Roma was mainly due to visitors being below their standards by a big margin. Similar scorelines against Milan (away) and Lazio (home) in late February were good, but then Milan is a side that generally struggles against mid-table teams and excels in high-tier games.

Udinese is not chasing much in the competition now, in my opinion, and with a few home wins later in the season will be safe from relegation soon enough. It feels to me, this game they may treat with relatively lowered motivation, especially with the international break coming up next.

Amongst interesting team news is the absence of centre-back Nehuen Perez, who was at the heart of their defense in 3 1-1 draws vs. Lazio, Milan and Roma.

I expect Napoli to prevail through superior squad, Udi’s poor away record and possible lowered composure.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，今天对那不勒斯的一些打击已经开启了一个不错的赌注价值。

斯帕莱蒂的球队在面对顶级对手时表现不佳。举几个例子:欧洲联赛2-4输给巴塞罗那，1-1战平尤文图斯，1-1输给AC米兰。对阵来自前六的球队的结果喜忧参半，那不勒斯经常在这样的比赛中努力展现他们最好的足球。

当面对积分榜第二名的对手时，特别是在主场，那不勒斯本赛季取得了显著的进步。都灵，卡利亚里，萨勒尼塔纳，博洛尼亚都相对轻松地被击败。这场战役成功的关键是格外坚实的防守。在主场只丢10个球，是仅次于尤文图斯的第二好的成绩。

那不勒斯也应该从没有参加欧洲杯中获益。每周1场比赛的循环非常适合他们，特别是他们的阵容在很多位置上都很单薄。

乌迪内斯是21/22赛季意甲最糟糕的球队之一。到目前为止，他们只取得了2场胜利，而且，有趣的是，他们的客场比赛比其他任何球队都少(与萨勒尼塔纳持平的是13场)。

他们在最近几周取得了一些不错的成绩，但我想把每一次表现作为一个单独的案例。主场1比1战胜罗马的主要原因是客队的表现远远低于他们的水平。在2月底对阵米兰(客场)和拉齐奥(主场)的比赛中，类似的进球也很不错，但米兰是一支通常在与中间位置的球队对抗时很挣扎，在高级别比赛中表现出色的球队。

在我看来，乌迪内斯现在的竞争并不激烈，随着赛季后期主场的几场胜利，他很快就会免于降级。在我看来，他们对待这场比赛的动机可能会相对较低，特别是在接下来的国际比赛中。

其中一个有趣的消息是中后卫Nehuen Perez的缺席，他在1-1战平拉齐奥，米兰和罗马的31场比赛中是防守的核心。

我希望那不勒斯能够凭借强大的阵容取胜，乌迪在客场的糟糕表现以及可能的冷静。