Odds are not fully adjusted by bookies
2022-03-16

Przem

外籍分析师

澳超

03/16 16:35

已完赛

解读理由:

I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Odds on hosts raised up by 0.20 from opening odds on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

Wanderers coming to this game with almost best possible line up - only defender Rhys Williams is unavailable today. On the other hand Adelaide today will play without first goalkeeper Delianov, defender Ansell, striker Yengi and key midfielder Juande.

For me is hard to trust Adelaide - they won 4 of last 7 matches, but they not played on outstanding level or so. In 5 of those 7 matches they had expected goals scored number lower than their opponents.

Wanderers lost 4 of last 7 matches (3 wins in the process), but in 6 of 7 those matches they had expected goals scored number bigger than their opponents!

In addition to that Wanderers didn't lost in 5 of last 6 matches against Adelaide.

Less squad problems, better numbers in models and good H2H. In those circumstances I see very good value on away side. Odds are simply too big on guests. I fully agree with market movement.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我一直等到最后一刻才下注,因为我想看到最新的赔率变化和今天比赛中最可能出现的阵容。

主队的赔率比亚洲大市场的开盘价提高了0.20,我完全同意这一趋势。

流浪者带着几乎最好的阵容来到了这场比赛——只有后卫里斯·威廉姆斯今天不能上场。另一方面,阿德莱德今天将没有第一门将德里亚诺夫、后卫安塞尔、前锋燕吉和关键中场胡安德。

对我来说,很难相信阿德莱德——他们最近7场比赛赢了4场,但他们并没有打出高水平的比赛。在这7场比赛中,有5场他们预期进球数低于对手。

流浪者队在过去的7场比赛中输掉了4场(3场胜利),但在7场比赛中有6场他们预期的进球比对手多!

此外,流浪者队在最近6场对阿德莱德的比赛中有5场没有输掉。

更少的小队问题,更好的数字模型和良好的H2H。在这种情况下,我在客场看到了非常好的价值。客人的胜算太大了。我完全同意市场走势。

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