Sometimes, and it happens in monthly cycles, the results of matches around the world on Friday&Saturday click wonderfully for a good part of the betting population that backs favs. We had a great period on the first part of the weekend. Then Sunday happens and many favorites fail to win. It's important to be selective on weekends to stay in a profitable land. Even if we were on double chance X2 Aston Villa this time, and not on a side of favorite, still it's worth retake a look at Sunday results (Inter, Southampton, Leverkusen, AZ, Sevilla..) and do not forget. We have to move on so we are going to bet in English league, and we take a risky, but still valuable first pick with the offered handicap line.

Palace is one of the rare teams in the world who beat City this season. Following their 2-0 victory at the Etihad in autumn 2021, Crystal Palace are aiming to complete the league double over Manchester City for the 1st time since 1987-88 when the teams met back then in the second tier of English football. Worth knowing, Palace is the last team to keep a clean sheet in Premier League against the Guardiola side of this campaign. Yes, City is in great form and are undefeated in their last 13 games on the road in the league but still, this won't be a walk-in park match for visitors. I respect City form and surely they are one of the top 3 teams in the world but I respect what Patrick Vieira is doing at Palace. The home team won 3 out of their last 4 games counting the FA Cup win over Stoke, and surely they have what to offer against the team they won already in this season. Normally, Citizens will look for "revenge" here but simply +2 handicap looks too much against a decent side from my perspective.

The Palace side is without any kind of pressure of relegation worries and can play for fans and continue with quality displays. I did mention a couple of times about their fluid game with efficient counter-attacks and even good-looking positional attacks against the teams that defend. City will be once again without the most important defender Ruben Dias, and this might be a chance for hosts to earn something from this game. Fully honestly, I don't think the Palace win will happen once again in a row, but still, I do believe hosts can make a good game and resist for a long period in the game. Handicap of 2 is a very brave and valuable attempt in my eyes.

!This is the first pick for Monday. I am waiting for National Lottery to give us more matches during the day so stay tuned for the update on the second pick!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

有时，世界各地的比赛在周五和周六的结果非常吻合，这是一个月周期。我们在周末的第一部分玩得很开心。然后到了周日，许多热门选手都没能获胜。重要的是要在周末有选择性地呆在一个有利可图的地方。即使我们这次有两次机会得到阿斯顿维拉，而且不是在热门球队，但还是有必要重新看看周日的比赛结果(国际米兰，南安普顿，勒沃库森，阿斯利康，塞维利亚..)，不要忘记。

水晶宫是本赛季世界上少有的击败曼城队的球队之一。继2021年秋季在阿提哈德以2比0的比分战胜曼城之后，水晶宫的目标是自1987-88年在英格兰足球二线联赛中相遇以来，首次完成对曼城的联赛双杀。值得知道的是，在本赛季对阵瓜迪奥拉的比赛中，宫殿是最后一支没有失球的球队。是的，曼城现在状态很好，并且在过去的13场客场比赛中保持不败，但是，这对客队来说不会是一场轻松的比赛。我尊重曼城的表现，当然他们是世界前三的球队之一，但我也尊重维埃拉在皇宫的表现。包括足总杯战胜斯托克城在内，主队在过去的4场比赛中赢了3场，当然，他们对这支本赛季已经赢过的球队有足够的实力。通常情况下，曼城会在这里寻找“复仇”，但在我看来，仅仅+2的障碍看起来太不公平了。

水晶宫没有任何降级的压力，可以为球迷效力，并继续保持高质量的表现。我确实提到过几次他们流畅的比赛，高效的反击，甚至漂亮的位置进攻，对抗防守的球队。曼城将再次失去最重要的后卫鲁本·迪亚斯，这可能是东道主从这场比赛中获得一些东西的机会。说实话，我不认为皇宫会连续获胜，但我仍然相信东道主能够做出一场好比赛，并在比赛中坚持很长时间。在我看来，水晶宫不会大比分输球是个不错的选择。

这是周一的第一个选择。我在等待国家彩票在白天给我们更多的比赛，所以请继续关注关于第二个选择的更新!