It's last test before match against Ajax 对阵阿贾克斯前的考验
2022-03-11

Przem

外籍分析师

葡超

03/12 04:15

已完赛

本菲卡
1:0
维兹拉
解读理由:

In my opinion Benfica is clear favorite of today's match up and should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2 goals margin. -1.5 AH looks like very good bet here.

First match of the season between both teams finished with Benfica 1:0 win after goal scored in additional time by Silva just before final whistle. There was so many bad emotions between players of both teams. Some unacceptable comments from Vizela players towards Benfica team and I'm sure hosts have big motivation to destroy them today.

I saw Vizela in last round in away match against Santa Clara. They lost 1:3 and that was fully deserved loss. Vizela looked poor at the back, lack of creativity (6 shots only) and at the end of the match players looked very tired, looks like they don't have too much left in the tank and they will have problems to avoid relegation at the end. Benfica coming for this game after vital win 2:1 on away against solid Portimonense. For sure they are in better mood. In addition to that they had one day more for recovery because they played at Saturday.

Benfica still have a lot of motivation to winning league matches because first two places have guaranteed spot in Champions League group stage, third place will play in qualies. Now Benfica is third, 4 points behind Sporting (their the biggest enemies). For sure they wants to win here and add some pressure on Sporting before upcoming game.

Obviously, at Tuesday Benfica will play big game in Champions League against Ajax, but I don't think they will take this game lightly. They needs big win in good style to go to Amsterdam with confidence on the highest possible level. That's why we can expect really strong line up for this game.

Benfica offensive formation is simply too big for Vizela unstable defense. 6.0 shots on target per game (only Porto have betters stats), Benfica scored more than one goal in last 6 matches in a row. Vizela conceded at least one goal in last 10 consecutive matches (they conceded more than one goal in 7 of last 9). Benfica scored 30 goals in 12 home matches, Vizela conceded 26 goals in 12 away matches.

Benfica is the best Portuguese team with the ball - 461 accurate passes per game with average ball possession above 63%. On the other hand Vizela is one of the worst team with the ball in whole league - only 267 accurate passes per game with 44.3% average ball possession.

Benfica should be able to control this game without big problems and create a lot of chances to score. I expect comfortable win for hosts today with 2/3 or maybe even more goals margin. No hopes for Vizela here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,本菲卡是今天比赛中最受欢迎的球队,应该能够以至少两个进球的优势轻松取胜。-1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。

本菲卡在本赛季的首场比赛中,在终场哨声吹响前,席尔瓦在加时赛中攻入一球,本菲卡以1:0获胜。两队球员之间有很多不好的情绪。维泽拉球员对本菲卡的一些不可接受的评论,我相信东道主今天有很大的动力去摧毁他们。

我在上一轮客场对阵圣克拉拉的比赛中看到了维泽拉。他们输了1比3,这是完全应得的损失。维泽拉的后场表现很差,缺乏创造力(只有6次射门),在比赛的最后,球员们看起来非常疲惫,看起来他们已经没有太多的剩余了,他们将在最后时刻面临保级的问题。本菲卡在客场2:1战胜波蒂莫内塞后迎来了这场关键的比赛。他们的心情肯定更好了。除此之外,因为周六的比赛,他们还有一天的时间来恢复。

本菲卡仍然有很大的动力去赢得联赛,因为前两名已经保证了在冠军联赛小组赛的位置,第三名将参加资格赛。现在本菲卡排在第三,落后他们最大的敌人竞技队4分。当然,他们想在这里赢得比赛,并在即将到来的比赛前给体育施加一些压力。

显然,本菲卡将在周二的欧冠大战中对阵阿贾克斯,但我不认为他们会轻视这场比赛。他们需要以良好的风格赢得一场大胜,以尽可能高的水平带着信心去阿姆斯特丹。这就是为什么我们可以期待这场比赛的强大阵容。

本菲卡的进攻阵型对于维泽拉不稳定的防守来说太大了。本菲卡场均6.0次射正(只有波尔图的数据更好),在最近的6场比赛中,本菲卡连进一球以上。在过去的10场比赛中,维泽拉至少丢了一个球(在过去的9场比赛中,有7场比赛丢了一个以上)。本菲卡队在12场主场比赛中进了30个球,而维泽拉在12场客场比赛中丢了26个球。

本菲卡是葡萄牙最好的控球球队-每场比赛461次准确传球,平均控球率在63%以上。另一方面,维泽拉是全联盟控球最差的球队之一——场均只有267次准确传球,控球率为44.3%。

本菲卡应该能够在没有大问题的情况下控制比赛,并创造很多进球机会。我希望东道主今天能以2/3甚至更多的进球优势轻松取胜。别指望维泽拉在这里。

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