In my opinion Napoli have really good chances to make win in today's prestigious match.

It's extremely important match for the Serie A table. Both teams fighting for the title, they have the same amount of points and are only one point behind leading Inter.

Napoli have superb offensive formation, so many options, so many dangerous players. In 2022 they played 11 matches in all competitions and scored at least one goal in all matches (they scored more than one goal in 5 of last 8). They coming here full of confidence after huge away win 2:1 on away Lazio. Napoli wants to go with momentum today and they have all required tools to do it. Napoli scored 23 goals in 13 home league matches (expected goals scored: 24.12).

Milan is still without their key defenders Kjaer and Romagnoli, it's a huge blow and hard to imagine clean sheet for them. They looked poor in last two league matches - they failed to win on away against poor Salernitana and at home against Udinese (1:1, Udinese had 1.53 expected goals scored) Conceded three goals in the process. Offensive formation as well doesn't looks good at the moment - they had only 0.93 expected goals scored against Udinese. Today Milan probably will play without their best scorer Ibrahimović and it's a real problem because Milan in this season had better results on away than they really should. Milan scored 31 goals in 13 away matches, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 19.32, it's huge difference.

Napoli so far is the best team in whole league in second round of Serie A, they won last 8 of last 14 matches against Milan and they have bigger chances to win this game than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，那不勒斯有很好的机会在今天的比赛中获胜。

这是意甲积分榜上极其重要的一场比赛。两支球队都在争夺冠军，他们得分相同，只落后领先的国际米兰1分。

那不勒斯有极好的进攻阵型，有很多选择，有很多危险球员。2022年，他们在所有比赛中踢了11场比赛，并在所有比赛中至少进了一个球(最近8场比赛中，他们有5场进了一个以上的球)。在客场2:1大胜拉齐奥后，他们满怀信心来到这里。那不勒斯今天想要保持势头，他们拥有所有需要的工具来做到这一点。那不勒斯队在13场主场比赛中攻入23球(预期进球数:24.12)。

米兰仍然缺少他们的关键后卫凯贾尔和罗马尼奥里，这是一个巨大的打击，很难想象他们会失球。他们在最近的两场联赛中表现不佳——客场对萨勒尼塔纳失利，主场对乌迪内斯(1:1，预期进球数1.53)失三球。进攻阵型目前看起来也不太好——对阵乌迪内斯时，他们的预期进球数只有0.93个。今天米兰可能会失去他们最好的射手Ibrahimović，这是一个真正的问题，因为米兰在这个赛季的客场成绩比他们应该得到的要好。米兰在13场客场比赛中进了31个球，但根据预期进球模型他们应该只进了19.32，这是巨大的差距。

到目前为止，那不勒斯是意甲第二轮联赛中最好的球队，他们在过去14场对米兰的比赛中赢得了8场，他们赢得这场比赛的机会比赌徒们预测的要大。