Guests should win here. Odds are a bit low, but asian handicap -1 is also a good option.
Elche has a very weak squad, but has some players performing very well like Lucas Boye (7 goals). They are sitting 14th on the table, dont have big urges as relegation is 7 points below.
At home they achieved great results, but against poor teams. When played against top teams, they suffered deserved defeats (0:3 vs Betis, 1:2 vs Real Madrid) or were outplayed and deserved to lose (1:1 vs Sevilla at the beginning of the season).
Elche is the team of La Liga who makes less shots (general and at home), while is the third team who conceded more shots and shots on target. So it’s obvious that they should be happy with their position in the table.
On the other hand, Barcelona is the main reason for this pick. They are in amazing form, finally solved the problem they had - lack of goal. They have scored 12 goals in the last 3 games, and were against top teams: Napoli, Valencia and Athletic Bilbao. 4 goals in each game.
Several players are in great form, their defense is pretty solid, they are dominating the games with the possession, and finally coach Xavi has available many key players who are back from injuries to make some rotations and to have more alternatives.
Barcelona is the team of La Liga on better form if we see the last 10 games, where they are unbeaten. The team is full of confidence and playing so well, and this is shown in their football and results.
The best fact is that they still need to achieve the three points in each game as they have the same points as Atletico Madrid (5th) and just one more than Real Sociedad (6th).
There’s a big difference here. I’d say that even Barcelona has bigger urgencies to achieve points here, and the quality difference is huge. Elche will try to be defensive but seeing the moment of Barcelona upfront and the alternatives they have, they should find a way to score goals here.
本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
埃尔切的阵容很弱,但有些球员表现得很好,比如卢卡斯·博耶(7球)。他们现在在积分榜上排名第14位,并没有太大的欲望,因为还差7分就降级了。
在主场,他们取得了很好的成绩,但在对阵弱队时。在与顶级球队的比赛中,他们遭遇了应得的失败(0:3 vs贝蒂斯,1:2 vs皇家马德里),或者被击败而理应输掉(赛季初1:1 vs塞维利亚)。
埃尔切是西甲中射门次数较少的球队(普通和主场),同时也是第三个投篮次数较多和射正的球队。所以很明显,他们应该对自己在积分榜上的位置感到满意。
另一方面,巴塞罗那是这个选择的主要原因。他们以惊人的状态,最终解决了他们的问题——缺乏目标。在过去的3场比赛中,他们已经打入了12个进球,对手是顶级球队:那不勒斯、瓦伦西亚和毕尔巴鄂竞技。
一些球员状态很好,他们的防守很稳固,他们在控球方面控制着比赛,最后教练哈维有很多伤病归来的关键球员,他们可以做一些轮换,有更多的选择。
巴塞罗那是西甲中状态更好的球队,如果我们看到最近10场比赛,他们是不败的。球队充满信心,踢得很好,这在他们的足球和比赛结果中得到了体现。
最好的事实是,他们仍然需要在每场比赛中都得到3分,因为他们和马竞(第五名)一样多,只比皇家社会(第六名)多一分。
这里有一个很大的区别。我想说的是,即使是巴塞罗那也有更紧迫的任务来获得积分,而且质量差异是巨大的。埃尔切将会尝试防守,但是在前面看到巴塞罗那的时刻和他们的选择,他们应该找到一种方法在这里进球。