I previewed both last round. Huesca lost as expected, Villarreal let Granada score twice from very low xG-chances, and were themselves surprisingly without top striker Gerard Moreno.

https://expert.hongcai.163.com/index.html#/details/1045472

https://expert.hongcai.163.com/index.html#/details/1047432

What has happened since then, what have we learned?

Huesca played a low chance game under Pacheta's new approach, which was not anything spectacular. On the second half they clearly lost focus and were constantly under pressure of Getafe, and the winning goal was mostly just a matter of time. They did actually score on 94th minute an equalizer, but there was first a scissor kick to a teammates face, and then hitting his own hand so that goal was naturally disallowed.

The absence of Mosquera showed badly in the midfield, he is still not fit after a few days of rest. Insua is a new casualty, and there will be some experiments made in the defense. I mentioned my doubts over Pacheta, the first game was no reason to change my mind.

Villarreal likely still without Moreno, but Paco Alcacer should be sharper this time. The coach Unai Emery may toy around the formation this time to match Huesca's 3-4-3, and perhaps we will Foyth in a wingback role?

Huesca is not a bad team, but the problem is that it has no strenghts either, and if the best man with the ball is the winger Ontiveros who is on loan from Villarreal it tells a story of its own.

To cut the story short, Huesca are the worst home team in the league so far with 1 win out of 9, they miss important players, are low in moral, and host the team who is joint best in expected data along with Barcelona. Villarreal win somewhere at 60% for me.

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在帕切塔的新战术下，韦斯卡打了一场机会很低少的比赛。下半场，他们显然失去了注意力，不断受到赫塔菲的压力，制胜的进球只是时间问题。他们确实在第94分钟扳平比分，但很明显进球无效。

莫斯克拉的缺阵在中场表现得很糟糕，在休息了几天后他仍然没有完全康复。因苏亚缺席，球队将做出新的尝试。我提到了我对帕切塔的怀疑，上场比赛并不能改变我的想法。

比利亚雷亚尔可能仍然没有莫雷诺，但帕科·阿尔卡塞这次应该会更犀利。教练埃默里这次可能会玩弄阵型来对付韦斯卡的3-4-3阵型，也许我们会让福伊斯扮演边后卫的角色?

韦斯卡不是一支糟糕的球队，但问题是它也没有实力，如果最好的持球人是从比利亚雷亚尔租借来的边锋昂蒂维罗斯，这就说明了它自己的故事。

简而言之，韦斯卡是迄今为止联赛中最差的主队，9场比赛只赢了一场，他们缺少重要球员，士气低落，并且主场迎战了和巴塞罗那一样在预期数据中表现最好的球队。比利亚雷亚尔为我赢了60%。

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