In my opinion Alaves have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

It's not easy to play at Alaves stadium and Sevilla knows about very well - they recorded only 2 wins in last 10 matches here.

Alaves currently have great streak in La Liga matches played at Friday - they went unbeaten in 7 such matches in a row. On the other hand Sevilla failed to win in 7 of last 8 matches played at Friday.

Alaves is in relegation zone, 4 points behind safe place and for them every match now is extremely important. They are solid home team - they didn't lost in 4 of last 5 home matches. They lost only against Barcelona (0:1), but even in that game they showed good fight. Expected goals scored for Alavaes 0.76, for Barcelona 1.25. In last home game they won against Valencia. Team is fresh and they don't have any new abscences.

On the other hand this is 5th match for Sevilla in 15 days.. For sure freshness is not on their side. Sevilla failed to win in last 5 away matches in a row in all competitions. In addition to that they are still without defenders: Carlos, Montiel & Rekik, midfielders: Gomez, Fernando, Suso & Lamela and winger Martial.

Alaves scored 10 goals in home matches so far, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 16.75. On the other hand Sevilla conceded 7 goals in away matches so far, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 13.33. Difference is huge.

Alaves manager José Luis Mendilibar in his managerial career played 12 home La Liga matches and didn't lost 9 times. I believe he have good chances for points today also.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，阿拉维斯在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

在阿拉维斯球场踢球并不容易，塞维利亚对此非常了解——他们在过去的10场比赛中只取得了2场胜利。

阿拉维斯目前在周五的西甲比赛中有很好的连胜，他们已经连续7场这样的比赛保持不败。另一方面，塞维利亚在周五的最后8场比赛中有7场没有赢。

阿拉维斯现在处于降级区，落后安全位置4分，对他们来说，现在的每一场比赛都非常重要。他们是坚固的主队——在最近的5场主场比赛中，他们没有输掉4场。他们只输了巴萨(0:1)，但即使在那场比赛中他们也表现得很好。Alavaes预期进球0.76，巴塞罗那预期进球1.25。在上一场主场比赛中，他们赢了瓦伦西亚。队伍是新来的，他们没有新的脓包。

另一方面，这是塞维利亚15天内的第五场比赛。毫无疑问，新鲜感并不站在他们一边。塞维利亚在最近的5场客场比赛中都没有赢球。除此之外，他们仍然没有后卫:卡洛斯、蒙蒂尔和雷吉克，中场:戈麦斯、费尔南多、苏索和拉梅拉以及边锋马希尔。

到目前为止，阿拉维斯在主场比赛中打进了10个进球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该得到16.75分。另一方面，塞维利亚到目前为止在客场比赛中丢了7个球，但根据预期失球模型，他们应该失球13.33。差异是巨大的。

阿拉维斯的主教练José路易斯·门迪利巴在他的教练生涯中打了12场西甲主场比赛，没有输过9场。我相信他今天也有很好的机会获得积分。