VALENCIA - ATHLETIC

Value bet here.

Spanish Cup semi finals second leg, previous game ended 1-1. Remember that here the rule was changed so away goals are not counting double anymore.

Valencia is in good form, with some players at their best level and the most important: the team is playing highly motivated. The coach Bordalas achieved the main task for which he was hired: put a very competitive spirit on the team. Valencia has quality, but they needed to play motivated and concentrated to show it, something which was missing in the last few years.

At home they have big support, and in attack they are scoring goals easily. Their main problem is at the back, where they are conceding goals easily this season. But I’m not worried about this because as said, several players (mainly striker Guedes and Hugo Duro) are in great form.

On the other hand Athletic Bilbao is also having a good moment. They are playing with high intensity as always, and they have experience in this tournament, where players are very motivated.

But playing away from home this season their performances have been so poor, especially because they decrease their intensity a lot and when this happens, Athletic Bilbao is a very average team. I don't think this will happen drastically here because they have the chance to play a final for a title, but surely their performance won’t be the same as playing at home.

In the previous game the match was very equal, with both teams playing at 200% and showing that they have a very similar level. But I’d say that Valencia had more chances to win there, including a very controversial decision by the referee that decided to not give a clear penalty to Hugo Duro (Valencia) at 90’.

In this game we will probably see something similar: two very equal teams, playing at 200% with high intensity and similar quality. But I see Valencia a bit of a favorite here: they have more quality upfront (while Athletic has a lack of goal) and play at home, so their motivation will be a bit higher while Athletic's performances away are worse than at home.

Draw is very possible, because in fact the level of both teams is almost the same. But the double chance for Valencia looks like a great bet on a match where the fans' support could be crucial.

MALLORCA - REAL SOCIEDAD

Hosts are totally able to take some point here.

Mallorca is in good moment, especially at home where they have lost only 3 games so far (13 played): 0:1 vs Barcelona (huge goalkeeper mistake and Ter Stegen made an amazing save at 90’), 2:3 vs Osasuna (unlucky as conceded goal at 89’) and 0:1 vs Valencia this weekend (amazing goal at 4’ and then several chances by Mallorca).

The fact is that Mallorca is a very competitive side at home and very difficult to beat. The new signing of the striker Muriqi has been great because he is performing amazingly well.

On the other hand, Real Sociedad is struggling lately to make a good streak of results. They have been very unlucky with the injuries this season, and the team looks tired. In the beginning of the season they were scoring goals easily, and now several players are in bad form without scoring goals, while the team isn’t creating too many chances either.

This match again will have problems with the injuries, as coach Imanol will miss 7 players: starters Januzaj and Diego Rico, rotation players Rafinha, Aihen and Zaldua, and other long term injuries like Monreal, Barrenetxea and Carlos Fernandez.

The absences and injuries are a problem for the coach, as he can’t make rotations and the team is tired: this will be their 5th game in 12 days, using almost the same players always. They can’t be at 100% in any case.

Mallorca will play with high motivation at home: they need points to avoid relegation and they want to achieve points after the defeat vs Valencia at the weekend. Of course Real Sociedad has more quality but I don't see them able to win easily here. Guests will dominate the match but Mallorca is a very dangerous team at counters and is totally able to at least avoid the defeat here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

瓦伦西亚-毕尔巴鄂竞技

价值选择。

西班牙杯半决赛第二回合，前一场比赛以1:1结束。记住，这里的规则改变了，所以客场进球不再被重复计算。

瓦伦西亚状态很好，有一些球员处于最佳水平，最重要的是:球队斗志昂扬。博尔达拉斯教练完成了他受聘的主要任务:让球队充满竞争精神。瓦伦西亚有实力，但他们需要打得有动力，集中精神来表现，这是过去几年所缺少的。

在主场他们有强大的支持，在进攻中他们很容易进球。他们的主要问题是在后防线，这个赛季他们很容易失球。但我并不担心，因为正如我所说的，一些球员(主要是前锋古德斯和雨果·杜罗)状态很好。

另一方面，毕尔巴鄂竞技也有一个美好的时刻。他们一如既往地打出高强度的比赛，而且他们在这届比赛中也有经验，球员们都很有动力。

但是这个赛季他们在客场的表现很差，特别是因为他们降低了他们的强度，当这种情况发生时，毕尔巴鄂竞技是一支非常普通的球队。我不认为这种情况会在这里发生，因为他们有机会进入决赛争夺冠军，但他们的表现肯定不会像在主场一样。

在前一场比赛中，两支球队的得分都是200%，这表明他们的水平非常相似。但我想说的是瓦伦西亚在那里有更多的获胜机会，包括一个非常有争议的判罚，裁判决定在90分时不给乌戈·杜罗(瓦伦西亚)一个明显的点球。

在这场比赛中，我们可能会看到类似的情况:两支势均力敌的球队，打出200%的高强度和相似的质量。但我觉得巴伦西亚在这方面更受欢迎:他们有更高的前锋水平(而竞技则缺少进球)，而且在主场比赛，所以他们的动力会更高一些，而竞技在客场的表现却比主场差。

平局是很有可能的，因为实际上两队的水平几乎是一样的。但是瓦伦西亚的两次机会看起来是一个伟大的赌注，因为球迷的支持可能是至关重要的。

马洛卡——皇家社会

主队完全可以得1分。

马略卡岛的好时机,尤其是在家里,他们失去了只有3游戏到目前为止(13):0:1巴塞罗那vs(巨大的门将错误和Ter Stegen做出了一个惊人的保存在90年),2:3和奥萨苏纳(不幸的是承认目标89 ')和0:1 vs瓦伦西亚这个周末(神奇的目标4 '然后几个机会马略卡岛)。

事实上，马洛卡在主场是一支非常有竞争力的球队，很难被击败。新签下的前锋穆里奇非常棒，因为他的表现非常出色。

另一方面，皇家社会最近正努力取得一个好的成绩。他们在这个赛季的伤病方面很不走运，球队看起来很疲惫。在赛季开始的时候，他们进球很容易，现在有几个球员状态不好，没有进球，而球队也没有创造太多的机会。

本场比赛将再次出现伤病问题，教练伊马诺将缺席7名球员:先发球员雅努扎伊和迭戈·里科，轮换球员拉菲尼亚，艾亨和扎尔杜瓦，以及其他长期受伤的球员，如蒙特雷尔，巴雷内塞亚和卡洛斯·费尔南德斯。

缺阵和伤病对教练来说是一个问题，因为他不能进行轮换，球队也很累:这将是他们12天内的第五场比赛，几乎总是用同样的球员。在任何情况下都不可能达到100%。

马洛卡将会在主场表现得很有动力:他们需要积分来避免降级，他们希望在周末输给瓦伦西亚后能够获得积分。当然皇家社会更有实力，但我不认为他们能在这里轻松取胜。客队将主宰比赛，但马洛卡队在柜台是一支非常危险的球队，至少完全能够避免在这里失败。