Angers vs Lens

Angers host Lens for this French Ligue 1 round 26 clash at Stade Raymond-Kopa. I do not expect the most entertaining match here and see the match as more low-scoring than the betting market on average and most football analysts online. The pretty low goals expectancy increases the probability of a draw, meaning that my fans and myself have a very good chance of winning the bet Anger +0.5 goals handicap. The main rationale behind my analysis on the goal expectancy is the fact that neither team have been convincing offensively lately. Let’s take a closer look at the match..

Neither team are in good form and have won just one of their latest five matches and seem to be low in confidence. Especially in Angers’ latest matches the goal expectancy for them and the opponent has been pretty low. They definitely have room for improvement, especially offensively and this match, in front of their fans, against a team who are about the same level is a good chance for the to get back into winning track. Indeed, the difference between the teams is very small. I rate the visitors as the 10th best team in this league and the hosts as the 12th best in my power ratings that illustrate the teams’ raw class. Currently Lens are in the 9th place in the standings and Angers occupy the 13th place. However, the standings do does not reflect the true level of Angers. They have been very unlucky terms of expected point and would have deserved 5-6 more points than they have in the bank. They would have also deserved to score more goals and allow less goals. I suspect that the table has mislead the betting market here - offering as a chance to place a valuable bet on Angers +0.5 goals. As for Lens, they have not been neither lucky nor unlucky in terms of expected points this season. However, their most recent match against Lyon they were a little lucky to get even a point – it was a 1-1 draw. To sum, up with the home advantage, the hosts are marginal favorites here in my opinion.

昂热队在雷蒙德-科帕体育场举行的法甲 轮第 26 轮比赛中主场迎战朗斯。我不认为这里会是最有趣的比赛，而且平均而言，这场比赛的得分比博彩市场和大多数在线足球分析师的得分更低。相当低的目标预期增加了平局的可能性，这意味着我的粉丝和我自己很有可能赢得赌注 Anger +0.5 目标让分。我对进球预期进行分析的主要理由是，最近两支球队都没有在进攻端令人信服。让我们仔细看看比赛..

两支球队的状态都不好，最近五场比赛只赢了一场，而且似乎信心不足。尤其是在昂热最近的比赛中，他们和对手的进球预期一直很低。他们绝对有提升的空间，尤其是进攻端，而这场比赛，在他们的球迷面前，面对一支水平差不多的球队，是他们重新夺冠的好机会追踪。确实，团队之间的差异非常小。我将客队评为法甲第 10 的球队，将主队评为第 12 ，这说明了球队的原始等级。目前朗斯在积分榜上排在第9位，而昂热则排在第13位。不过，积分榜并不能反映昂热的真实水平。他们的预期分数非常不走运，应该比他们在银行中的分数多出 5-6 分。他们也应该得到更多的进球并允许更少的进球。我怀疑该表误导了这里的投注市场 - 提供了对昂热 +0.5 目标进行有价值投注的机会。至于朗斯，就本赛季的预期积分而言，他们既不走运也不走运。然而，他们最近一次对阵里昂的比赛，他们有点幸运地拿到了一分——1-1战平。总而言之，加上主场优势，在我看来昂热可以保持不败。