I have talked about Rayo recently here, in short they are in a poor form mentally and physically, and their good success in the first half of the season was not only brilliant at times, but also a fake, their huge home form is partly down to the fixture list. They met basically only bottom-half teams at home!

Now they are safe in the midtable which is more than anyone expected, and all their eyes are in the Copa del Rey semifinal next week vs Betis, this match would have about 0 importance to them, but of course local rivals Real Madrid will set them on fire! Those players who are chosen, it is still likely that Rayo coach will try to make sure his players do not get injured. The best players, one would like to name Falcao, but his last goal dates back to November!

Rayo latest results and xG below.. worrying is it not?

最近在这里谈巴列卡诺，总之他们的精神和身体状态都很差，而他们在上半赛季的好成绩不仅有时是辉煌的，而且是假的，他们巨大的主场状态部分下降到夹具列表。他们在主场基本上只遇到了下半场的球队！

现在他们在中游很安全，这超出了任何人的预期，他们的目光都集中在下周对阵贝蒂斯的国王杯半决赛上，这场比赛对他们的重要性大约为0，但当然是本土对手皇马着火！那些被选中的球员，巴列卡诺教练仍然很可能会尽力确保他的球员不会受伤。最好的球员，有人想说出法尔考的名字，但他的最后一个进球要追溯到 11 月！

巴列卡诺的最新结果和下面的数据 令人担忧是不是？

It is true that they would had deserved not to lose v Athletic and Celta, but it is just a regression to the mean. They have had their share of luck, and all bookies and experts placed them as the league's weakest team when the season started. Some of their new players did impress and improve the performances, but they do struggle badly against the big teams.

Real then. If you only watched them being ridiculed by PSG in the Champion's league you would not like to touch them, but it was PSG, not Rayo, and coach Ancelotti had chosen to look for a 0-0 draw with no risks taken.

In the league they have 6 points gap to Sevilla, so it would be silly to drop points at a match like this, and as they have no cup matches next week they can fully concentrate on this and field their best possible lineup. Recently in the league they have gone like this:

诚然，他们本应不输毕尔巴鄂竞技和塞尔塔，但这只是平均水平的回归。他们有自己的运气，所有的博彩公司和专家在赛季开始时都将他们列为联盟最弱的球队。他们的一些新球员确实给人留下了深刻的印象并提高了表现，但他们确实在与大球队的比赛中表现不佳。

如果你只是看着他们在冠军联赛中被巴黎圣日耳曼嘲笑，你不会想碰他们，但那是巴黎圣日耳曼，而不是雷奥，主教练安切洛蒂选择了不冒任何风险的 0-0 平局。

在联赛中，他们与塞维利亚的差距为 6 分，因此在这样的比赛中丢分是愚蠢的，而且由于他们下周没有杯赛，他们可以完全专注于这一点，并发挥出他们可能的最佳阵容。最近在联盟中，他们的表现是这样的：

Real have full squad available, and as Ancelotti do not make any experiments there will be no experiments. Even if they would play this match badly as a team there is Vinicius and Benzema upfront to decide on this on their own.

Easy away win. 0-3 or so.

皇马有完整的阵容，由于安切洛蒂不做任何实验，所以不会有实验。即使他们作为一个球队在这场比赛中表现不佳，维尼修斯和本泽马也可以自行决定。

预测皇马轻松取胜，比分参考0-3