Even if this is more or less a set than a friendlies than a proper competition, and the performances of each team vary massively between - and within games due to 7 substition possibilities - a few things stay clear.

At home almost any team is the favourite because the class difference is usually a small one but indoor arena advantage is huge.

I can not say I particularly like this Lahti team. They lost to Honka 0-4 at home, in their next game away at Ilves they were 0-4 up but almost ended up in drawing! One reason was that they were a few weeks left behind in training but that has now been pretty much caught up.

Motivation-wise this is simple, the winner proceeds to play-offs, a draw is no good for either of them.

I mentioned earlier that Lahti have changed significantly, but class-wise they are both in the same category, the lower half.

Haka have better coaching in Teemu Tainio - a Tottenham legend, Lahti are the goal-rich team here - one of their friendlies also ended in 4-3, Haka are the boring option who do not concede much but find it hard to win games.

Lineups today are out, Lahti have for example now striker Kandji starting, in his top form he would be - and was - the best attacker in the league, but in general no drama can be found from the lineups and as mentioned there will do plenty of substitutions.

Long story short, Lahti are about 50% favourites to win, and in case this is a draw late in the game there will be risks taken as this is final game of the group phase!

3-1

即使这或多或少是一场友谊赛而不是一场真正的比赛，而且每支球队的表现在之间和比赛中都有很大的不同——由于有 7 种换人的可能性——但有些事情还是很清楚的。

在主场，几乎任何球队都有优势，因为实力差距很小，但主场优势很大。

我不能说我特别喜欢这支拉赫蒂队。主场0-4不敌洪卡，下一场客场0-4领先，差点打成平手！一个原因是他们在训练中落后了几个星期，但现在几乎已经赶上了。

动机很简单，获胜者进入附加赛，平局对他们中的任何一个都没有好处。

我之前提到过，拉赫蒂发生了很大的变化，但从实力上讲，它们都属于同一类别，即下半部分。

哈卡在泰姆·泰尼奥（Teemu Tainio）的执教的下变得更好——托特纳姆热刺的传奇人物，拉赫蒂是这里进球最多的球队——他们的早友谊赛也以 4-3 结束，哈卡很难赢得比赛。

今天的阵容已经列出，拉赫蒂现在有前锋坎吉首发，他处在最佳状态，是联赛中最好的攻击手。

长话短说，拉赫蒂有 50% 的几率获胜，如果这是在比赛后期打成平局，那将是小组赛的最后一场比赛，因此会有风险！