An interesting clash in Argentina! 阿甲分享 圣洛伦索vs防御正义
2022-02-22

Tapio

外籍分析师

阿甲

02/22 08:30

已完赛

圣洛伦索
1:0
防御正义
解读理由:

San Lorenzo vs Defensa Y Justicia

San Lorenzo hosts Defensa Y Justicia for this Copa De Liga Profesional round3 clash Tuesday morning Beijing time. There is a quite clear advantage in raw class in favor of the visitors here. San Lorenzo will surely fight hard them winning would be a surprise today.. They also do not have the best fans compared to other teams in this league so the home advantage, whilst of course needs to be taken into account, is not as big as with many other clubs.They are also missing 4 players. A pretty low-scoring match is on the cards here but I expect a little more high-scoring market than the betting market and many football analysts online. This is mainly because of the huge firepower the visitors have!

Indeed, Defensa Y Justitia finished second in Liga Profersional last year after the most famous Argentinian club, River Plate with 47 points after 25 rounds and only lost 4 matches. Their goal difference was very good - 43 goals scored and 24 allowed. Away from home they lost 3 games and the goal difference was 19:13. The hosts, on the other hand, only managed to record 27 points and finished in the 21st place in a league of 26 teams. Their goal difference was 23:33. I was quite disappointed in their performances, especially offensively. They were truly dominated by Gimnasasia L.P in the their most recent match despite losing just 0-1 away from home. Gimnasia L.P are not a very strong team and were not even very clear favorites for this match. The ball possession was 55-45% in favor of the hosts - not a huge difference - but the San Lorenzo were unable create much danger when they were controlling the ball. They lacked offensive structure and rhythm, which was hardly a big surprise of course. Gimnasia L.P recorded 20 scoring attempts and the San Lorenzo had only 5. The shots on target statistic was 12-2 in favor of the hosts. They also created a lot more attacks, dangerous attacks and recorded more completed passes. At least 2-0 would have been a justified result.

In the match before that against Banfield they played okay and it was a 0-0 draw. However, they only recorded one shot on target. I do realize they are capable of improving offensively but will it happen today against a very good opponent? I have my doubts, and even a clear improvement would not guarantee a win as their defense is not rock-solid despite allowing just one goal in two matches so far. They would probably have to score twice to win as the visitors will probably score. Defensa Y Justicia have been slightly disappointing in their first two matches but the potential is huge. The lame performances are probably the main reason they are offered this high odds.. Our bet on them +0.5 goals handicap has 74% chance of winning. In their most recent match against Racing Club they would have deserved a narrow win at home but it was a 2-2 draw.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周二早上,圣洛伦佐队将在联赛第三轮比赛中迎战正义队。对这里的游客来说,原始阶级有一个相当明显的优势。圣洛伦佐肯定会打得很艰难,他们今天的胜利将是一个惊喜。与其他球队相比,他们也没有最好的球迷,所以主场优势,当然也需要考虑,不像其他俱乐部那么大。他们还缺了4名球员。一场相当低得分的比赛在这里是可能的,但我预计会有比博彩市场和许多在线足球分析师更多的高得分市场。这主要是因为访客拥有巨大的火力!

事实上,在去年的西甲联赛中,“正义后卫”以25轮47分的成绩位居第二,仅输掉4场比赛,仅次于阿根廷最著名的俱乐部河床队。他们的净胜球差很大——进43球,失24球。客场他们输了3场比赛,净胜球为19:13。另一方面,东道主仅获得27分,在26支球队的联赛中排名第21位。他们的净胜球差为23:33。我对他们的表现很失望,尤其是在进攻方面。在最近的一场比赛中,他们被吉姆纳萨西娅·L.P真正控制了,尽管他们在主场0-1输掉了比赛。Gimnasia L.P不是一支非常强大的球队,甚至在这场比赛中也不是很明显的热门。控球率为55-45%,优势不大,但圣洛伦佐在控球时无法制造出多大的危险。他们缺乏进攻结构和节奏,这当然不是什么大意外。吉姆纳西亚L.P有20次得分机会,而圣洛伦佐只有5次。主队在目标数据上的投篮是12-2。他们也创造了更多的攻击,危险的攻击和记录更多的完成传球。至少2-0是一个合理的结果。

在之前对阵班菲尔德的比赛中,他们打得不错,最后打成了0-0平局。然而,他们只记录了一枪命中目标。我确实意识到他们有能力提高进攻,但是今天面对一个非常好的对手,这种情况会发生吗?我有我的怀疑,即使是明显的进步也不能保证胜利,因为他们的防守并不是坚如磐石,尽管到目前为止,两场比赛只丢了一个球。他们可能要进两球才能赢,因为客队很可能会进球。贾斯蒂西亚在前两场比赛中的表现有点令人失望,但潜力是巨大的。蹩脚的表演可能是他们获得如此高的赔率的主要原因。我们赌他们+0.5个进球,有74%的机会获胜。在最近一场对赛车俱乐部的比赛中,他们本应该在主场取得一场险胜,但结果却是2-2平局。

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