In my opinion Juventus have really good chances to avoid a loss in today's match up.

To be honest, I'm surprised by odds on Juventus, I expected to see them as a favorite here. In those circumstances double chance on Juventus is must-play bet for me.

Both teams have squad problems. Villarreal today will play without their top striker Gerard Moreno. Juventus for sure is without their key central defender Bonucci, key wingers Chiesa and Bernardeschi and top player Dybala will start on the bench. Of course, that is painful information , but I still see good quality in Juventus line up. There is many top class players like de Ligt, Locatelli, Cuadrado or new striker Vlahovic. They shouldn't be underestimated.

Villarreal is not in the best form - 3 wins in last 7 matches in all competitions. They won at home against poor Mallorca, but that wasn't convincing: expected goals scored for Villarreal 1.73, for Mallorca 1.56. They won against Betis, but that was close match: expected goals scored for Betis 0.51, for Villarreal 1.05. They luckily avoided loss at home against Real: expected goals scored for Real 2.12, for Villarreal 0.44. In last game they won on away against Granada, but two goals came from penalty kicks and Granada had 2.50 expected goals scored in that game. Is hard to say Villarreal is in impressive form or something like that.

Since Massimiliano Allegri came to the Juventus they improved a lot in comparison to the start of the season. He is high quality coach and he simply knows what he doing and where he want to go with his team. Since end of November Juventus played 16 matches in all competitions and they didn't lost even once in 90 minutes (they lost against Inter after extra time). In those 16 games they conceded 11 goals so they have good consistency at the back.

Juventus passed knockout stage round 6 times against Spanish teams in 8 meetings. Villarreal played 3 home matches in Champions League and recorded only one win. Juventus didn't lost in 4 of last 5 away matches in Champions League against Spanish sides. Allegri have great record on Juventus bench in round of 16 in Champions League - he passed 4 of 5 match ups at this stage. On the other hand Villarreal coach Unai Emery played 6 matches at knockout stage in his managerial career and recorded only one win.

All in all, I don't see Juventus as an underdog in this game.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，尤文图斯在今天的比赛中有很好的机会避免失败。

说实话，我对尤文图斯的赔率感到惊讶，我本来以为他们会是这里的热门。在这种情况下，双倍的机会对尤文图斯是我必须要打的赌注。

两支球队都存在阵容问题。比利亚雷亚尔今天将缺席他们的顶级前锋杰拉德·莫雷诺。尤文图斯的关键中后卫博努奇，关键边锋奇埃萨和贝纳德斯基以及顶级球员迪巴拉将缺席首发。当然，这是痛苦的消息，但我仍然看到了尤文图斯的优秀阵容。有许多顶级球员，如德莱特，洛卡特利，夸德拉多或新的前锋弗拉霍维奇。他们不应该被低估。

比利亚雷亚尔的状态不是很好，在过去的7场比赛中都赢了3场。他们在主场战胜了可怜的马洛卡，但这并不令人信服:比利亚雷亚尔的预期进球为1.73，马洛卡的预期进球为1.56。他们赢了贝蒂斯，但这是一场势均力敌的比赛:贝蒂斯的预期进球为0.51，比利亚雷亚尔的预期进球为1.05。他们很幸运地避免了主场对阵皇马的失利:皇马的预期进球为2.12，比利亚雷亚尔的预期进球为0.44。在上一场比赛中，他们战胜了格拉纳达，但两个进球来自点球，格拉纳达在那场比赛中有2.50个进球预期。很难说比利亚雷亚尔的状态是否令人印象深刻。

自从阿莱格里来到尤文图斯后，他们比赛季初进步了很多。他是高质量的教练，他很清楚自己在做什么，他想和他的球队一起去哪里。自11月底以来，尤文图斯在所有比赛中踢了16场比赛，他们在90分钟内一场都没有输(他们在加时赛后输给了国际米兰)。在这16场比赛中，他们丢了11个球，所以他们在后防线上有很好的稳定性。

尤文图斯在8场比赛中6次战胜西班牙，晋级淘汰赛。比利亚雷亚尔在冠军联赛中打了3场主场比赛，只取得了一场胜利。在最近五场客场对阵西班牙的比赛中，尤文图斯没有输掉四场。阿莱格里在尤文16强的板凳席上有着出色的记录，他在这个阶段的5场比赛中淘汰了4场。另一方面，比利亚雷亚尔教练乌奈埃默里在他的教练生涯中，在淘汰赛阶段打了6场比赛，只取得了一场胜利。

总而言之，我不认为尤文图斯在这场比赛中处于劣势。