I did back Spezia also last round, but they lost with a 87th minute goal to Fiorentina. Have to say it was deserved though, they were in trouble all of the game. Before that they were on a good run, which was the reason for the bet and is also today. Before that loss they were unbeaten in 6 out 7 last games, and that run has raised them away from the fiercest relegation battle. Also the performances have gone hand in hand with the results, they pretty much have what they deserve. Defensive players Kelvin and Bastoni should be the only absentees today.

Bologna have a lot weaker phase right now. They have not won this year, but are 0-1-4, and what is worse is that the results are well-deserved, or even a bit flattering. The only draw in that run came at home to Empoli, but Empoli won the goal expectations by almost two goals!

The injuries are part to blame, and also tonight the Bologna side is weakened. There are half a dozen absentees, and missing Svanberg, Medel and Dominguez leaves big holes into midfield and defense. Bologna should have the firepower to score a goal or two against anyone as Barrow and Arnautovic are really classy attacking players, but the xG of Bologna in recent 5 games shows that they have created goal expectation of only 3.4 xG, and scored 2! With those numbers it is a difficult task to win in Serie A.

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上一轮我也支持斯佩齐亚，但他们在第87分钟就输给了佛罗伦萨。不得不说这是他们应得的，他们整场比赛都有麻烦。在此之前，他们的业绩很好，这是他们押注的原因，今天也是如此。在输掉那场比赛之前，他们在上一场比赛的7场比赛中都保持了6场不败，这一波连胜让他们远离了最激烈的保级之战。同时，他们的表现也与结果紧密相连，他们也得到了他们应得的。防守球员凯文和巴斯顿尼应该是今天唯一缺席的球员。

博洛尼亚现在处于一个很弱的阶段。他们今年没有赢过，但比分是0-1-4，更糟糕的是，这个结果是理所应当的，甚至有点奉承。唯一的平局是在主场与恩波利打平，但恩波利以几乎两球的优势赢得了进球期待!

受伤是部分原因，而且今晚博洛尼亚的实力被削弱了。有六名球员缺席，思文伯格、梅德尔和多明格斯的缺阵给中场和防守留下了很大的漏洞。博洛尼亚应该有能力在对阵任何人的比赛中打进一两个球，因为巴罗和阿尔诺托维奇都是非常优秀的进攻球员，但博洛尼亚的xG在最近5场比赛中显示，他们只创造了3.4 xG的进球期望，并进了2个!有了这些数字，在意甲取胜是一项艰巨的任务。

预测比分1:1。