In my opinion Levante have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Obviously, is not easy to play at Abanca-Balaidos in Vigo, but Levante coming here fearless as they won 2 of last 3 matches at this stadium. First match of the season between both teams finished with Celta 2:0 away win, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Levante 1.49, for Celta 0.83.

Celta is very overrated in odds because they didn't lost in last 4 consecutive matches, but they had a lot of luck. They not played that good, results looks better than their performances. 4 rounds ago they won 2:0 at home against Osasuna, but Celta had only 5 shots in that game. In next round they had draw on away against Sevilla: expected goals scored for Sevilla 1.22, for Celta 0.42 (only 6 shots). Then they won 2:0 at home against Rayo Vallecano: expected goals scored for Celta 0.74, for Rayo 0.63. In last round they had 0:0 on away against Cadiz from relegation zone. Once again creativity was a problem for Celta Vigo, they had only 6 shots in that game. They not looking super hot at the moment, they not dominating opponents so for me is very hard to see them as a so big favorite.

Levante is on last position in league table and they really needs points. It's not like they playing extremely poor season or so, they played many high quality matches, but still were able to lose them. According to the expected goals scored/conceded models they should be much higher in league table than they are. It's visible even in comparison to the team from Vigo. In current season Celta scored 28 goals (27.9 expected goals scored), on the other hand Levante scored 24, but according to the models they should score 29.8! Levante coming for this game full of confidence, 5 days ago they played on away against title defenders Atletico Madrid and they won 1:0! For sure they wants to go with momentum today.

Both teams don't have any new absences so their line ups should look exactly the same like in previous round.

For me value on away side is obvious. They will give absolutely everything to make some points here and Celta is not so strong.

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在我看来，莱万特在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。

显然，在维戈的Abanca-Balaidos打球并不容易，但莱万特无畏地来到这里，他们在这个体育场赢得了最近3场比赛中的2场。两队本赛季的第一场比赛，塞尔塔客场2:0获胜，但这并不是一个应得的结果:莱万特的预期进球为1.49，塞尔塔的预期进球为0.83。

塞尔塔的赔率被高估了，因为他们在最近4场比赛中没有输掉，但他们有很多运气。他们踢得不是很好，结果看起来比他们的表现要好。4轮前，他们在主场2:0战胜奥萨苏纳，但塞尔塔在那场比赛中只有5次射门。下一轮他们客场战平塞维利亚:塞维利亚的预期进球为1.22，塞尔塔的预期进球为0.42(只有6次射门)。然后他们在主场2:0战胜了瓦列卡诺:塞尔塔的预期进球为0.74，而瓦列卡诺的预期进球为0.63。在上一轮比赛中，他们在客场0:0战胜来自降级区的加的斯。对于Celta Vigo来说，创造性再次成为了一个问题，他们在游戏中只有6次投篮机会。他们现在看起来不是很帅，他们没有统治对手，所以对我来说很难把他们看作是大热门。

莱万特在积分榜上排名最后，他们真的需要积分。这并不是说他们在这个赛季打得非常糟糕，他们打了很多高质量的比赛，但仍然有可能输掉比赛。根据预期进球/失球模型，他们在排行榜上应该比现在高得多。即使与维戈的团队相比，这也是显而易见的。本赛季塞尔塔队进了28个球(27.9个预期进球)，而莱万特队进了24个，但根据模型，他们应该进29.8个!莱万特带着满满的信心来参加这场比赛，5天前他们与卫冕后卫马德里竞技进行了客场比赛，他们1:0获胜!毫无疑问，他们想要今天的势头。

两支球队都没有新的缺阵，所以他们的阵容应该和上一轮完全一样。

对我来说，客场的价值是显而易见的。他们会尽一切努力来取得一些成绩，而塞尔塔并没有那么强大。