Club America host Pachuca for Mexico Liga MX Clasusura round 6 battle at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City at 6 am. today Beijing time. This clash probably will not be the most entertaining match and I expect a slightly more low-scoring match than the betting market and many football analysts online. The lower goal expectancy does of course increase the probability of the match being a draw – and my fans and myself winning the bet on the visitors with +0.5 goals handicap. I expect a very balanced match here. The visitors have been playing clearly better so far but with the home advantage the hosts are slim favorites and have about 35-36% chance of winning but are over-rated by the betting market probably because of good performances in the past. Indeed, their start in the league has been disappointing and I have already lowered their power rating that reflect the teams’ class compared to other teams in the league.

Both teams definitely do have room for improvement. The hosts should find a better structure in defense if they want to take all three points here and climb up the standings in general. They have allowed 10 goals in 5 matches and scored 7. Allowing 2 goals per match is of course too much. They have won just one match so far, lost 3 matches and taken one draw and currently occupy 16th place. The league has a total of 18 teams. They grabbed the only win a week ago away from home against Santos Laguna 3-2 but the performance was far from convincing! Santos Laguna are the rock bottom team in the standings at the moment.. The hosts had 60% ball possession and created a lot more scoring chances and recorded much more shots and target as well as completed passes and dangerous attacks. Club America would have deserved maximum one point.. Once again, their defense looked quite shaky. The visitors have had more days the rest before this match which is a small advantage for them. They have lost just one match so far, to a pretty good team Club Leon and have won 3 matches. They would have deserved a point from this balanced match though. On the 6h of February they beat Necaxa 3-1 away from home despite receiving two red cards in the first half! Impressive.